Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, July 7, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

The Seattle Mariners (42-43) are on their way to Minute Maid Park on Friday where they will try to beat the Houston Astros (49-38). The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Castillo and Hunter Brown.

As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are knocking in 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 15th in the league. They have notched a total of 384 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .311. The Mariners have earned 143 doubles as a unit and have hit 98 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 369 runs batted in and 666 base knocks on the season, while their batting average sits at .233. Seattle has a slugging rate of .391 and have been called out on strikes 828 times, while drawing a walk on 284 occasions.

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The Mariners have an ERA of 3.86 this season (8th in the league), and they have struck out 761 batters. Mariners pitchers have given up 87 home runs and 362 runs in total (9th in MLB). They have walked 224 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.75 as a squad this season. Seattle has given up 686 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 326 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.40 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Mariners have dispatched 285 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 109 runners for the year and 25.7% of those players ended up scoring. They have compiled 19 saves over the course of the season and have blown 13 of their 32 save chances. The Mariners bullpen have a save percentage of 59.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 77 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 44 holds on the year (19th in baseball). Mariners bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 84 times and also have had 87 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mariners have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,840 innings on the field, ranking them 10th in MLB. The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 2,280 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 736 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which ranks 15th in pro baseball, and they have turned 64 double plays.

Castillo has thrown 958 innings and has accounted for 1,051 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.53 (376 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.183. He has given up 801 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 332 free passes. Castillo (53-61 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.67 while he has gone up against 3,966 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Houston has knocked in 106 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 395 runs batted in. They have tallied 149 doubles, while getting a free base 282 times and putting up 411 runs. The Houston Astros are sitting with an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a batting average of .251 so far this year. The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .414 and they are earning 4.72 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have been rung up on 683 occasions (26th in MLB) and have a total of 739 base hits.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.246 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.02 as a squad on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (802 strikeouts against 265 bases on balls). They sit at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 704. They have surrendered 97 long balls and they surrender 4.03 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have allowed 348 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.61 (312 earned runs yielded).

With 87 save situations, the Astros have 48 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Houston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 38 save chances and they have earned 25 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 81 times in high leverage situations and also on 46 occasions with base runners. Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.4% of 71 inherited base runners. They rank 14th in the league with a save percentage of 65.8%, and they have sent 270 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

In their 7,002 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (15th in professional baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 78 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Astros have accrued 748 assists, 42 errors and have a total of 2,334 putouts for the season.

During his MLB career, Brown has surrendered 99 base knocks while he has totaled 125 strikeouts in 111 frames. Brown (8-5 career win-loss record) holds a 3.23 earned run average and has given up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 40 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.222 and having a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.38 and he has gone up against 455 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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