Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/5/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-155) Cincinnati (+130)

The Cincinnati Reds (71-68) will compete against the Seattle Mariners (77-59) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Mariners at -155 while the Reds are priced at +130. The over/under is 9. The men taking the mound are Bryce Miller and Brett Kennedy.

Seattle has a slugging percentage of .418 and have been called out on strikes 1,356 times, while being walked on 467 occasions. They have accrued 628 RBI's in addition to 1,126 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .244. The Mariners have accumulated 243 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 179 baseballs out of the park. They have 652 runs while having a team OBP of .325. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in the league.

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The Mariners have a team ERA of 3.67 for the year (1st in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,230 hitters. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 149 home runs and 547 total runs (2nd in MLB). They have walked 334 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.74 as a unit over the course of the season. Seattle has given up 1,096 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 497 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.68 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17.

The Mariners relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 67.8% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 157 runners on the campaign and 24.2% of those runners ended up scoring. Mariners relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 124 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have dispatched 459 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relievers are sitting with 87 holds over the course of the season (4th in baseball). They have accumulated 40 saves for the year and have blown 19 of 59 chances to save the game.

The Mariners have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,968 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in pro baseball. The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 3,656 putouts this year, in addition to 1,146 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which ranks 9th in professional baseball, and have a total of 107 double plays.

Miller has thrown 107 frames and has accumulated 100 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Miller (8-4 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.76 while he has faced 432 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.93 (47 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.050. He has given up 92 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 21 free passes.

The Reds hold a team SLG% of .410 and they are earning 4.71 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have recorded 235 two-baggers, while getting a free base 466 times and scoring 655 runs. Cincinnati has 158 HRs for the season as well as 625 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,299 instances (3rd in baseball) and have accounted for 1,163 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .247 on the campaign.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 692 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.72 (648 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 191 homers and they concede 5.04 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.409 and have a FIP of 4.77 as a pitching staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (1,183 strikeouts against 518 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,224.

With 150 save situations, the Reds have earned 79 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 68 save chances and they have tallied 46 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 206 times in high leverage situations and also on 189 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.9% out of their 268 inherited runners. They sit at 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 507 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year.

In 11,127 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (20th in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 110 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (21st in baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,122 assists, 76 errors and have notched a total of 3,709 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Kennedy has conceded 50 hits while tallying 26 K's in 42 innings pitched. Kennedy (2-2 career record) has a 6.12 earned run average while giving up 10.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 29 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.594 and having a FIP of 5.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.44 and he has faced 199 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-155)

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