Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+100) Boston (-120)

The Seattle Mariners (21-20) are headed to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will go up against the Boston Red Sox (22-20). The moneyline on this game has Seattle at +100 and Boston opens at -120. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Marco Gonzales and Brayan Bello.

The Mariners have recorded 70 doubles as a unit and have hit 44 balls out of the stadium. Seattle has a slugging rate of .380 and have struck out 398 times, while drawing a walk on 137 occasions. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are earning 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. They have accrued 176 RBI's and 316 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is .229. They have tallied 184 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .307.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.39 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15. Mariners pitchers have conceded 26 long balls and 151 total runs (3rd in baseball). Seattle has relinquished 318 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 134 earned runs. The Mariners are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.24 for the season (1st in the league), and the staff has struck out 369 hitters. They have walked 109 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.20 as a unit over the course of the season.

Mariners pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 39 times and also have had 51 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 28 holds on the season (6th in the league). The Mariners bullpen have earned a save rate of 63.2% and has entered the game in 48 save situations. They have earned 12 saves on the campaign and have blown 7 of their 19 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 47 base runners so far this year with 23.4% of those players crossed home plate. The Mariners have dispatched 147 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Mariners have converted 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,345 innings on the field, ranking them 10th in pro baseball. The San Francisco Giants have a total of 1,115 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 364 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .991 which puts them in 3rd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 27 double plays.

Gonzales has pitched in 879 innings and has earned 656 punch outs in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.09 (400 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.283. He has surrendered 897 base hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 232 free passes. Gonzales (64-48 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.41 and he has gone up against 3,709 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Boston has compiled 51 long balls for the year to go along with 218 RBIs. They have recorded 94 doubles, while taking a walk 138 times as well as putting up 227 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an OBP of .338 as well as a batting average of .267 on the year. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .442 and they have an average of 5.40 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have struck out on 329 occasions (25th in baseball) and are sitting with 384 base hits.

The Boston pitching staff have allowed 225 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 5.09 (210 earned runs given up). They have allowed 60 dingers and they surrender 5.46 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.377 in addition to having a FIP of 4.70 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (354 strikeouts against 125 free passes). They come in at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 386.

With 38 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 22 holds and 5 blown saves. Boston has had relievers step onto the hill in 16 save opportunities and they have come away with 11 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations and on 20 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 48.4% out of their 31 inherited base runners. They are ranked 8th in the league with a save rate of 68.8%, and they have sent 133 relievers onto the diamond so far this season.

In their 3,339 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (24th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 32 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 373 assists, 28 errors and have accounted for 1,113 putouts during this campaign.

Bello (4-9 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.80 ERA and has given up 11.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and he has faced 373 batters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 43 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.723 and having a FIP of 3.6. In his pro baseball career, Bello has allowed 105 base knocks and he has 79 strikeouts in 80 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-120)

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