Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-130) Boston (+110)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (22-19) will play the Seattle Mariners (20-20) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Seattle at -130 and Boston opens at +110. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Castillo and Nick Pivetta.

The Mariners have recorded 66 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 41 baseballs out of the stadium. Seattle has a slugging % of .371 and have been called out on strikes 388 times, while being walked on 134 occasions. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 15th in the league. They have earned 166 RBI's in addition to 301 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .225. They have earned a total of 174 runs scored and hold an OBP of .304.

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The Mariners have compiled a team earned run average of 3.30 on the year (4th in the league), and their staff has rung up 361 batters. Mariners pitchers have yielded 26 long balls and 150 total runs (4th in the league). They have walked 108 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.22 as a squad this year. Seattle has conceded 309 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and 133 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.34 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Mariners have dispatched 144 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 45 base runners so far this year with 24.4% of those players earned a run for their team. They have tallied 12 saves for the year and have blown 7 of 19 save opportunities. The Mariners relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 63.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 47 save situations. The relief pitchers have 27 holds on the year (6th in the league). Mariners pitchers have entered the game with players on base 38 times in addition to having 51 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Francisco Giants have earned 1,088 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 351 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 4th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 25 double plays. The Mariners have turned 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,264 innings on the field, which has them ranked 9th in baseball.

Castillo (50-56 career record) holds a FIP of 3.58 while he has faced 3,743 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 759 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 313 free passes. His ERA is 3.54 (356 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.185. Castillo has taken the hill for 904 frames and has tallied 989 K's in his MLB career.

Boston has a total of 51 long balls on the season as well as 217 RBIs. They have hit 92 doubles, while walking 137 times as well as notching 226 runs. The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .339 and a team batting average of .267 so far this year. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .444 and they score 5.51 runs per contest (3rd in baseball). They have struck out on 321 occasions (26th in MLB) and have accounted for 375 hits.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.362 and have a FIP of 4.65 as a team on the campaign. They are currently ranked 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 371. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 215 runs this season while holding an ERA of 5.02 (202 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (344 strikeouts against 122 walks). They have allowed 57 home runs and they yield 5.35 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

With 38 save situations, the Red Sox have 22 holds and 5 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 16 save chances and they have walked away with 11 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 30 times in high leverage situations and also on 17 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 48.1% out of their 27 inherited base runners. They rank 6th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have sent 129 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 32 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 362 assists, 26 errors and have accounted for 1,086 putouts for the year. In 3,258 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (23rd in MLB).

Pivetta (42-53 mark in his career) holds a 5.07 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 3,362 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed 437 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.396 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. During his MLB career, Pivetta has given up 777 hits while he has accumulated 820 strikeouts in 775 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-130)

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