Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-120) Atlanta (+100)

The Seattle Mariners (21-23) are traveling to Truist Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (28-16). The moneyline on this contest has the Mariners at -120 and the Braves are opening at +100. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are George Kirby and Jared Shuster.

The Mariners have accounted for 77 doubles as a team and have knocked 45 balls out of the park. Seattle is slugging .377 and have been rung up 423 times, while being walked on 150 occasions. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league. They have 184 runs batted in and 337 base knocks for the season, while their batting average sits at .228. They have tallied 193 runs scored and hold an OBP of .307.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.34 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. Mariners pitchers have allowed 31 long balls in addition to 178 runs in total (6th in baseball). Seattle has given up 356 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 159 earned runs. The Mariners hold a team ERA of 3.62 so far this season (5th in the league), and the staff has struck out 387 batters. They have walked 116 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.33 as a team on the year.

The Mariners relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 60.0% and has entered the game in 49 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 57 runners for the season and 29.8% of them crossed home plate. Mariners bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 44 times and also have had 53 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have dispatched 157 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers are sitting with 28 holds on the season (6th in baseball). They have 12 saves on the campaign and have blown 8 of 20 save opportunities.

The San Francisco Giants have earned 1,187 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 390 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which is 6th in the majors, and have 28 double plays. The Mariners have transformed 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,561 innings, which has them ranked 13th in baseball.

Kirby has taken the ball for 181 frames and has 174 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Kirby (13-7 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.87 and he has gone up against 744 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.13 (63 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.153. He has given up 183 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 26 walks.

The Braves have a team slugging % of .465 and they average 5.32 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have hit 79 two-baggers, while walking 160 times and putting up 234 runs. Atlanta has accumulated 75 HRs so far this year to go along with 225 RBIs. They have struck out on 389 occasions (14th in the league) and have earned 387 hits. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .337 and a team batting average of .258 on the year.

The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 168 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.51 (152 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 37 long balls and they yield 3.88 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.264 with a FIP of 3.55 as a team over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.70 (418 strikeouts against 134 bases on balls). They rank 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 358.

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score rate of 38.7% of 62 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 53 times in high leverage situations and on 41 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 50 save situations, the Braves have amassed 30 holds and also 9 blown saves. They rank 21st in baseball with a save rate of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 149 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have come away with 11 saves.

In their 3,507 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (28th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 39 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Braves have racked up 367 assists, 29 errors and have notched a total of 1,169 putouts for the season.

During his career, Shuster has conceded 15 hits while he has accumulated 8 punch outs in 13 innings. He has conceded a total of 11 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.902 and having a FIP of 5.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 0.73 and he has faced 64 batters so far in his MLB career. Shuster (0-2 career record) holds a 7.24 earned run average and has conceded 9.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+100)

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