San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, July 17, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (-180) Cincinnati (+155)

The Cincinnati Reds (50-44) will play the San Francisco Giants (52-41) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has San Francisco at -180 while Cincinnati is priced at +155. The total is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Logan Webb and Brandon Williamson.

San Francisco has a slugging rate of .404 and have struck out 866 times, while taking a walk on 310 occasions. They have amassed 414 runs batted in and 770 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is .247. The Giants have compiled 154 doubles as a squad and have smacked 107 baseballs out of the park. They have 425 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .322. As a unit, the San Francisco Giants are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 13th in baseball.

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The Giants are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.86 over the course of the season (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 804 batters. Giants pitchers have surrendered 95 home runs and 390 runs in total (11th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 245 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.88 as a team for the season. San Francisco has yielded 782 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 352 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25.

The Giants have sent 281 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 115 base runners this year and 28.7% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 36 saves this season and have blown 9 out of their 45 save chances. The Giants bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 80.0% and has entered the game in 90 save situations. The bullpen have notched 43 holds this year (23rd in baseball). Giants pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 79 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Giants have turned 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,377 innings on the field, which ranks them 26th in MLB. The Seattle Mariners have earned a total of 2,459 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 905 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which is 29th in the majors, and they have turned 87 double plays.

Webb has pitched in 560 innings and has tallied 531 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.40 (212 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.195. He has surrendered 524 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 146 free passes. Webb (39-26 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.18 while he has faced 2,305 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an OBP of .334 and a batting average of .253 so far this year. They have struck out on 842 occasions (7th in the league) and have recorded 798 hits. Cincinnati is sitting with 98 HRs this season as well as 437 RBIs. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .410 and they average 4.88 runs per outing (8th in MLB). They have recorded 162 two-baggers, while getting a free base 342 times as well as earning 454 runs.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.441 with a FIP of 4.75 as a pitching staff on the year. They are currently ranked 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 848. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 467 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.81 (443 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (782 strikeouts against 347 free passes). They have allowed 123 home runs and they relinquish 5.07 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.8% out of their 180 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 138 times in high leverage situations and also on 127 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 99 save situations, the Reds have tallied 50 holds and also 13 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB holding a save percentage of 72.3%, and they have dispatched 338 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Cincinnati has had relievers enter the game in 47 save chances and they have walked away with 34 saves.

In their 7,464 innings played, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (25th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 72 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 753 assists, 43 errors and have a total of 2,488 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Williamson has given up 44 hits while he has earned 38 strikeouts in 46 frames. He has given up a total of 27 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.350 and having a FIP of 5.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.00 and he has faced 200 hitters so far in his MLB career. Williamson (1-2 career mark) has a 5.21 earned run average while conceding 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco (-180)

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