San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Tuesday, July 18, 2023
Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
TV: Sportsnet
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-120) Toronto (+100)
The Toronto Blue Jays (53-41) will compete against the San Diego Padres (44-50) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. The odds on this game have San Diego at -120 and Toronto is at +100. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Alek Manoah.
San Diego has a slugging % of .405 and have been called out on strikes 803 times, while being walked on 392 occasions. They have compiled 403 runs batted in as well as 729 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average sits at .234. The Padres have earned 165 doubles as a squad and have hit 117 balls out of the park. They have 423 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 16th in MLB.
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The Padres hold a team ERA of 3.84 on the year (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 818 batters. Padres pitchers have yielded 104 home runs and also 387 total runs (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 308 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.21 as a team for the season. San Diego has surrendered 743 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 357 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.66 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26.
The Padres relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 54.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 97 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 115 base runners for the year with 35.7% of them earned a run for their team. Padres relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 74 times in addition to having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 300 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have tallied 53 holds on the year (11th in MLB). They have 24 saves on the campaign and have blown 20 of their 44 save opportunities.
The Padres have turned 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,527 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 5th in pro baseball. The San Diego Padres have a tally of 2,509 putouts so far this season, as well as 851 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which has them ranked 3rd in baseball, and they have twisted 81 double plays.
Musgrove (58-56 career record) holds a FIP of 3.77 while going up against 3,903 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 860 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 235 free passes. His earned run average is 3.75 (391 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.167. Musgrove has taken the mound for 938 innings and has racked up 931 strikeouts in his MLB career.
Toronto has recorded 105 HRs for the season and 406 runs batted in. They have 175 two-baggers, while taking a walk 296 times as well as putting up 429 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have tallied an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .262 this season. The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .419 and they earn 4.56 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 743 occasions (25th in baseball) and have 846 hits.
The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.245 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 14th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 765. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 385 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.81 (354 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.60 (894 strikeouts vs 276 free passes). They have surrendered 118 HR's and they surrender 4.14 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).
Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 22.2% of 144 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 99 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with runners on base. With 98 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 56 holds and also 9 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB with a save percentage of 78.6%, and they have sent 313 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have come away with 33 saves.
In 7,530 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (16th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 74 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 742 assists, 48 errors and have earned 2,510 putouts for the year.
Thus far in his career, Manoah has allowed 294 hits while he has earned 363 strikeouts in 372 innings pitched. Manoah (27-16 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.17 earned run average while giving up 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 131 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.147 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and he has gone up against 1,550 batters during his career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (+100) and under 8.5 runs
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Additional Resources:
Toronto Blue Jays - Twitter
San Diego Padres - Twitter