San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Thursday, June 29, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-225) Pittsburgh (+190)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (36-42) are hosting the San Diego Padres (37-42) at PNC Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have San Diego at -225 and Pittsburgh is opening at +190. The over/under is 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Joe Musgrove and Luis Ortiz.

The Padres have compiled 139 doubles as a unit and have hit 93 baseballs out of the park. San Diego has a slugging rate of .398 and have been called out on strikes 684 times, while being walked on 328 occasions. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have 322 RBI's and 605 hits for the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .233. They have a total of 339 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .323.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Padres pitchers have relinquished 86 home runs in addition to 313 total runs (2nd in the league). San Diego has yielded 615 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 293 earned runs. The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.76 so far this season (5th in the league), and the staff has struck out 672 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 249 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.13 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Padres have dispatched 243 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 89 runners so far this year with 34.8% of those players earned a run for their team. They have 20 saves on the campaign and have blown 13 of their 33 save chances. The Padres bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 60.6% and has entered the game in 80 save situations. The relief pitchers have 47 holds this year (7th in MLB). Padres relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 54 times and also have had 77 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,309 innings on the field, which has them sitting 4th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have a total of 2,103 putouts this year, as well as 700 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which is 1st in pro baseball, and have a total of 64 double plays.

Musgrove (56-56 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.80 while he has gone up against 3,833 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 847 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 233 free passes. His ERA is 3.80 (388 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.175. Musgrove has taken the mound for 919 innings and has totaled 907 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an OBP of .317 in addition to a batting average of .239 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 657 occasions (18th in MLB) and have earned 615 base hits. Pittsburgh is sitting with 72 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 305 RBIs. The Pirates hold a team slugging % of .389 and they earn 4.13 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 138 doubles, while getting a free base 276 times and notching 322 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 361 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.28 (326 earned runs conceded). They have given up 76 long balls and they relinquish 4.74 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.388 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (657 strikeouts against 277 walks). They are currently ranked 21st in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 674.

Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 31 save chances and they have earned 21 saves. They are ranked 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 67.7%, and they have dispatched 236 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 68 times in high leverage situations and on 68 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.9% out of 109 inherited base runners. With 67 save situations, the Pirates have earned 34 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 69 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in baseball). The Pirates have racked up 645 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 2,057 putouts over the course of the season. In their 6,171 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (27th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Ortiz has given up 60 base knocks while he has tallied 48 punch outs in 61 frames. He has given up a total of 27 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.492 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.50 and he has faced 273 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Ortiz (2-5 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.94 earned run average and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-225)

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