San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-145) Pittsburgh (+125)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (35-42) will go up against the San Diego Padres (37-41) at PNC Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Padres at -145 while the Pirates are priced at +125. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Blake Snell and Mitch Keller.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 20th in the league. They have accounted for 335 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Padres have recorded 136 two-baggers as a team and have hit 93 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 318 runs batted in and 594 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .232. San Diego has a slugging % of .398 and have been rung up 677 times, while taking a walk on 325 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Padres pitchers have surrendered 83 long balls and also 304 runs in total (2nd in the league). San Diego has given up 599 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 285 earned runs. The Padres hold a team ERA of 3.70 over the course of the season (5th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 663 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 247 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.11 as a squad for the year.

The Padres have dispatched 240 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 88 base runners this season with 35.2% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 20 saves on the year and have missed out on 13 of 33 save chances. The Padres relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.6% and has entered the game in 80 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 47 holds this year (7th in MLB). Padres pitchers have come into the game with players on base 53 times as well as having 77 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have 2,079 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 696 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .990 which is 1st in pro baseball, and they have twisted 64 double plays. The Padres have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,237 innings on the field, which has them ranked 2nd in MLB.

Snell has taken the hill for 893 frames and has 1,093 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.39 (337 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.244. He has allowed 720 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 392 walks. Snell (61-52 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 3,716 opposing batters in the majors.

Pittsburgh has accounted for 69 home runs on the season to go along with 296 RBIs. They have tallied 138 two-baggers, while getting a free base 274 times and scoring 313 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .237 for the season. The Pirates hold a team SLG% of .385 and they score 4.06 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have struck out on 648 instances (18th in baseball) and have 599 hits.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.386 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a unit for the year. They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 663. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 357 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.29 (322 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (650 strikeouts against 274 free passes). They have given up 76 homers and they relinquish 4.75 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Pittsburgh relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.9% out of their 109 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 68 times in high leverage situations and on 68 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 66 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 34 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They rank 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 235 relievers onto the field this season. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 30 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 66 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in the majors). The Pirates have recorded 632 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 2,030 putouts during this campaign. In 6,090 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a efficiency on defense of 67.8% (27th in pro baseball).

Keller (20-32 career win-loss record) has a 4.64 earned run average and has conceded 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.51 and he has faced 1,879 opposing batters so far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 221 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.464 and a FIP of 3.9. During his career, Keller has surrendered 458 hits and he has 424 strikeouts in 428 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125) and under 9 runs

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