San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 15, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+115) Philadelphia (-135)

Citizens Bank Park is where the Philadelphia Phillies (48-41) will take on the San Diego Padres (43-47) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Padres at +115 and the Phillies are coming in at -135. The total has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Blake Snell and Taijuan Walker.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.5 runs per contest, which is 18th in baseball. They have accounted for 401 runs scored while having a team OBP of .324. The Padres have recorded 155 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 109 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 382 RBI's as well as 696 hits for the year, while their team batting average sits at .235. San Diego is slugging .402 and have struck out 773 times, while drawing a walk on 374 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. Padres pitchers have yielded 98 home runs and 362 runs (4th in MLB). San Diego has conceded 704 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 336 earned runs. The Padres have an earned run average of 3.78 for the year (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 779 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 291 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.18 as a squad this season.

The Padres relievers have a save rate of 57.5% and has come into the game in 92 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 103 base runners this season and 37.9% of those players earned a run for their team. Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 66 times as well as having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 284 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 52 holds for the year (8th in the league). They have earned 23 saves this season and have blown 17 of their 40 chances to save the game.

The Padres have transformed 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,197 innings, which has them sitting 4th in MLB. The San Diego Padres are sitting with 2,399 putouts thus far, as well as 813 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which ranks 2nd in MLB, and have a total of 78 double plays.

Snell has taken the mound for 910 innings and has totaled 1,121 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.35 (339 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.243. He has surrendered 731 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has 401 walks. Snell (63-53 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.46 while he has faced 3,785 opposing batters in the majors.

The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .421 and they score 4.51 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have notched 168 doubles, while getting a free base 263 times and racking up 401 runs. Philadelphia has accounted for 99 HRs on the campaign to go along with 385 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 811 occasions (10th in the league) and have tallied 794 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team OBP of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .258 for the year.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.247 and have a FIP of 3.87 as a unit on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (819 strikeouts against 254 walks). They are currently ranked 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 726. They have allowed 96 long balls and they concede 4.49 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 392 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.06 (355 earned runs allowed).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of their 101 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with runners on base. With 73 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 40 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 75.8%, and they have sent 290 relievers to the mound for the season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves.

In 7,077 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 757 assists, 42 errors and have a total of 2,359 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Walker has conceded 899 base hits while totaling 891 strikeouts in 994 innings. Walker (64-53 career mark) has a 3.90 ERA and has conceded 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 431 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.228 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 4,169 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (+115)

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