San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/14/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, July 14, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-130) Philadelphia (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies (48-41) welcome the San Diego Padres (43-47) at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. The odds on this game have San Diego at -130 while Philadelphia opens at +110. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Yu Darvish and Cristopher Sanchez.

The Padres have accumulated 155 two-baggers as a team and have hit 109 baseballs out of the park. San Diego is slugging .402 and have been rung up 773 times, while drawing a walk on 374 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 18th in baseball. They have tallied 382 runs batted in as well as 696 hits for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .235. They have accounted for 401 runs while having a team OBP of .324.

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The Padres hold a team earned run average of 3.78 over the course of the season (6th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 779 hitters. Padres pitchers have surrendered 98 long balls and also 362 runs in total (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 291 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a team for the season. San Diego has conceded 704 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 336 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.68 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24.

The Padres relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 57.5% and stepped onto the hill in 92 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 103 runners this year and 37.9% of those players ended up scoring. Padres bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 66 times and also have had 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 284 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have 52 holds this year (8th in baseball). They have earned 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 out of their 40 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres have 2,399 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 813 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which has them ranked 2nd in MLB, and have 78 double plays. The Padres have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,197 innings on the field, ranking them 4th in MLB.

Darvish has taken the hill for 1,573 frames and has totaled 1,877 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.58 (625 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.133. He has conceded 1,275 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 507 free passes. Darvish (100-81 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.50 and he has faced 6,460 hitters in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied an OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .258 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 811 occasions (10th in MLB) and have tallied 794 hits. Philadelphia has 99 home runs on the campaign as well as 385 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .421 and they are earning 4.51 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have recorded 168 doubles, while getting a free base 263 times and recording 401 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.247 with a FIP of 3.87 as a team so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (819 strikeouts against 254 free passes). They sit at 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 726. They have relinquished 96 dingers and they concede 4.49 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 392 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.06 (355 earned runs surrendered).

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 33 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves. They rank 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 75.8%, and they have sent 290 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 91 times in high leverage situations in addition to 67 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of their 101 inherited runners. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Phillies have 40 holds in addition to 8 blown saves.

In their 7,077 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 58 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in pro baseball). The Phillies have 757 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 2,359 putouts for the season.

Sanchez (3-4 career mark) has a 4.62 earned run average while surrendering 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 335 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has allowed a total of 40 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.333 and having a FIP of 4.1. In his career, Sanchez has surrendered 76 base knocks and he has 70 punch outs in 78 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-130)

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