San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-110) New York (-110)

The San Diego Padres (6-4) are en route to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the New York Mets (5-5). The moneyline on this game has the Padres at -110 and the Mets are priced at -110. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ryan Weathers and David Peterson.

San Diego is slugging .448 and have been called out on strikes 78 times, while taking a walk on 41 occasions. They have earned 46 runs batted in as well as 79 hits so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .242. The Padres have tallied 22 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 15 balls out of the park. They have earned 50 runs scored and hold an OBP of .327. As a team, the San Diego Padres are earning 5.0 runs per contest, which has them at 14th in MLB.

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The Padres are sitting with a team ERA of 4.24 on the year (14th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 94 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.41 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40. Padres pitchers have yielded 10 home runs and also 42 runs in total (12th in MLB). They have walked 39 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.23 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Padres bullpen have a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 13 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 12 base runners over the course of the season with 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Padres pitchers have come into the game with players on base 5 times and also have had 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 29 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have tallied 7 holds for the year (13th in baseball). They have compiled 3 saves so far this year and have blown 3 out of their 6 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres have amassed 269 putouts on the campaign, as well as 93 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .992 which has them ranked 6th in MLB, and they have turned 11 double plays. The Padres have converted 67.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 807 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in the majors.

Weathers has taken the hill for 103 innings and has tallied 77 strikeouts thus far in his career. Weathers (4-7 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 5.31 and he has faced 442 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.40 (62 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.423. He has conceded 112 base hits (9.8 hits per nine innings) with 35 free passes.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .361 and they average 3.90 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have recorded 17 two-baggers, while taking a walk 45 times as well as putting up 39 runs. New York has recorded 10 home runs over the course of the season as well as 38 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 73 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have notched a total of 70 base hits. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .216 on the season.

The New York pitching staff have given up 46 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.81 (46 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 17 homers and they yield 4.81 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.442 and have a FIP of 5.48 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.03 (81 strikeouts against 40 free passes). They come in at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 84.

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of 12 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 8 times in high leverage situations and on 7 occasions with runners on base. With 12 save situations, the Mets have 10 holds and 0 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 33 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 2 save chances and they have come away with 2 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 11 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .997 (2nd in baseball). The Mets have accrued 92 assists, 1 error and have accounted for 258 putouts this season. In their 774 innings on the field, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (9th in MLB).

Peterson (15-14 career win-loss mark) has a 4.32 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.29 and he has faced 989 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 111 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.355 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. In his MLB career, Peterson has given up 206 base hits while accumulating 245 K's in 231 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-110)

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