San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-130) Minnesota (+110)

Target Field is the location where the Minnesota Twins (19-17) will go up against the San Diego Padres (19-17) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has San Diego at -130 and Minnesota is priced at +110. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Yu Darvish and Bailey Ober.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which is 24th in MLB. They have tallied 151 runs scored while having a team OBP of .321. The Padres have hit 66 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 40 baseballs out of the park. They have 144 runs batted in in addition to 277 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .234. San Diego has a slugging rate of .396 and have struck out 322 times, while drawing a walk on 147 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.40 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Padres pitchers have allowed 43 home runs and 150 total runs (11th in MLB). San Diego has conceded 288 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 144 earned runs. The Padres are sitting with a team ERA of 4.03 on the season (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 305 hitters. They have walked 127 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.50 as a team on the campaign.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 23 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 29 holds this year (3rd in the league). The Padres bullpen have a save percentage of 68.4% and has entered the game in 48 save situations. They have recorded 13 saves so far this year and have blown 6 out of their 19 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 40 runners for the year with 37.5% of those runners crossed home plate. The Padres have dispatched 111 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Padres have turned 71.3% of balls in play into outs out of 2,895 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 5th in baseball. The San Diego Padres are sitting with 965 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 326 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .992 which has them sitting 1st in baseball, and have 27 double plays.

Darvish has pitched in 1,524 frames and is sitting with 1,828 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 3.49 (592 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.125. He has given up 1,223 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 492 free passes. Darvish (97-77 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.46 and he has faced 6,252 batters during his time in the majors.

Minnesota has accounted for 45 home runs on the campaign as well as 146 RBIs. They have 51 two-baggers, while taking a walk 122 times and earning 153 runs. The Minnesota Twins hold a team OBP of .300 as well as a batting average of .219 so far this year. The Twins have a team SLG% of .385 and they tally 4.25 runs per outing (22nd in the league). They have been rung up on 345 instances (5th in the league) and have earned 262 hits.

The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 132 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.35 (120 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 32 home runs and they concede 3.69 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.139 and have a FIP of 3.47 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.70 (348 strikeouts against 102 walks). They are sitting at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 265.

Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 16 save chances and they have walked away with 10 saves. They are ranked 16th in the league with a save rate of 62.5%, and they have sent 102 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations in addition to 22 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.8% out of their 22 inherited base runners. With 37 save situations, the Twins have 21 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 24 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). The Twins have racked up 286 assists, 21 errors and have accounted for 967 putouts so far this year. In their 2,901 innings on the diamond, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (10th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Ober has allowed 150 base knocks and he has 163 K's in 166 innings pitched. Ober (7-6 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.51 ERA while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 65 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.116 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.53 and he has gone up against 674 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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