San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+100) Minnesota (-120)

The San Diego Padres (18-17) are en route to Target Field on Wednesday where they will go up against the Minnesota Twins (19-16). The moneyline on this matchup has the Padres at +100 while the Twins are at -120. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Seth Lugo and Pablo Lopez.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 23rd in MLB. They have racked up 145 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321. The Padres have tallied 64 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 39 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 139 RBI's in addition to 268 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average sits at .233. San Diego is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 313 times, while drawing a walk on 142 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.43 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29. Padres pitchers have conceded 43 home runs and 149 runs in total (12th in MLB). San Diego has allowed 282 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 143 earned runs. The Padres hold a team earned run average of 4.12 for the year (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 296 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 122 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.57 as a squad on the campaign.

The Padres relievers have a save rate of 68.4% and has come into the game in 45 save situations. The relievers have inherited 38 runners this season with 39.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 22 times in addition to having 42 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 107 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 26 holds for the year (5th in baseball). They have tallied 13 saves on the year and have missed out on 6 out of their 19 save opportunities.

The Padres have transformed 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,814 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 6th in pro baseball. The San Diego Padres have accumulated 938 putouts on the year, in addition to 319 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .992 which has them sitting 1st in MLB, and they have turned 27 double plays.

Lugo (35-26 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.65 and he has faced 2,190 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 476 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 145 free passes. His ERA is 3.46 (203 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.175. Lugo has taken the ball for 528 innings and has 539 K's during his pro baseball career.

Minnesota has 45 home runs on the campaign as well as 145 runs batted in. They have tallied 49 doubles, while walking 117 times and scoring 152 runs. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .220 on the year. The Twins hold a slugging % of .389 and they tally 4.34 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have struck out on 336 occasions (4th in MLB) and have notched a total of 256 base hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.127 with a FIP of 3.47 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.70 (339 strikeouts against 97 free passes). They have a ranking of 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 256. They have allowed 31 dingers and they concede 3.62 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 126 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.33 (116 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 37 save situations, the Twins have recorded 21 holds and also 6 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 16 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 38 times in high leverage situations and on 21 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 21 inherited runners. They sit at 15th in baseball with a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 99 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

In their 2,820 innings played, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in MLB). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 23 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Twins have 277 assists, 18 errors and have accumulated 940 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Lopez has allowed 500 hits while he has tallied 543 punch outs in 553 innings pitched. Lopez (30-33 career record) has a 3.92 ERA while conceding 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 241 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.179 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.57 and he has faced 2,286 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-120)

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