San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, August 27, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-122) Milwaukee (+102)

The Milwaukee Brewers (71-57) will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (61-68) at American Family Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Padres at -122 while the Brewers are priced at +102. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Michael Wacha and Adrian Houser.

The Padres have recorded 218 doubles as a unit and have hit 163 balls out of the stadium. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .408 and have been rung up 1,063 times, while drawing a walk on 520 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. They have compiled 556 runs batted in in addition to 1,012 hits this year, and their batting average comes in at .237. They have earned a total of 579 runs while holding a team OBP of .324.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. Padres pitchers have allowed 142 home runs in addition to 521 runs (3rd in baseball). San Diego has surrendered 1,021 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 484 earned runs. The Padres have an earned run average of 3.80 over the course of the season (5th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,139 batters. They have walked 432 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a squad on the season.

The Padres have dispatched 405 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 base runners on the campaign and 38.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have recorded 29 saves over the course of the season and have blown 22 of their 51 chances to get a save. The Padres bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 56.9% and stepped onto the hill in 120 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 68 holds on the season (14th in MLB). Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 89 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have turned 70.0% of balls in play into outs in their 10,305 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in the majors. The San Diego Padres have amassed 3,435 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,148 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which ranks 6th in baseball, and have accumulated 107 double plays.

Wacha has pitched in 1,249 innings and is sitting with 1,106 punch outs thus far in his career. Wacha (84-52 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.04 and he has gone up against 5,277 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.94 (547 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.289. He has given up 1,213 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 398 walks.

The Brewers hold a team slugging percentage of .380 and they average 4.37 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have put up 187 doubles, while getting a free base 457 times and scoring 559 runs. Milwaukee has accumulated 135 HRs for the year and 536 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,119 occasions (14th in baseball) and have accounted for 999 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .235 this year.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.219 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.33 as a staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (1,115 strikeouts against 391 bases on balls). They are sitting at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 995. They have given up 162 dingers and they relinquish 4.31 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 545 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (502 earned runs allowed).

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.3% out of their 133 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 140 times in high leverage situations and also on 97 occasions with runners on. With 137 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 78 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They rank 10th in the league holding a save rate of 67.2%, and they have dispatched 408 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 58 save chances and they have recorded 39 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 95 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in pro baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,091 assists, 65 errors and have earned a total of 3,413 putouts during this campaign. In 10,239 innings played, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (1st in pro baseball).

Houser (28-33 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.03 ERA and has conceded 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.04 and he has gone up against 2,216 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 231 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.367 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. During his career, Houser has given up 501 base knocks while he has totaled 418 strikeouts in 516 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-122)

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