San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 9/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+180) Los Angeles (-218)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (86-55) will take on the San Diego Padres (67-76) at Dodger Stadium on Monday. The odds on this game have San Diego at +180 while Los Angeles is priced at -218. The total is 9.5. The men taking the mound are Pedro Avila and Lance Lynn.

The Padres have earned 240 doubles as a unit and have smacked 181 balls out of the stadium. San Diego has a slugging % of .410 and have struck out 1,161 times, while taking a walk on 574 occasions. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 17th in the league. They have recorded 626 runs batted in in addition to 1,139 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .240. They have racked up 653 runs while holding a team OBP of .326.

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The Padres have a team ERA of 3.82 on the year (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,259 hitters. Padres pitchers have relinquished 156 long balls and also 582 runs in total (4th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 490 opposing players and their FIP is 4.19 as a squad on the year. San Diego has given up 1,136 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 538 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.28.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 98 times in addition to having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 72 holds for the year (19th in MLB). The Padres relievers have recorded a save rate of 54.5% and has entered the game in 128 save situations. They have compiled 30 saves this season and have missed out on 25 out of their 55 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 148 base runners over the course of the season with 39.9% of those players crossed the plate. The Padres have sent 446 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The San Diego Padres have a tally of 3,804 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,266 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which puts them in 7th in baseball, and they have turned 119 double plays. The Padres have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,412 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in the majors.

Avila (89-73 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.09 and he has gone up against 5,905 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,224 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 537 free passes. His ERA is 4.02 (624 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.260. Avila has thrown 1,397 innings and has earned 1,414 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Los Angeles has recorded 221 home runs for the year and 768 runs batted in. They have hit 271 two-baggers, while taking a walk 584 times and scoring 793 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accumulated an OBP of .342 as well as a batting average of .257 this year. The Dodgers hold a team SLG% of .459 and they average 5.62 runs per contest (2nd in MLB). They have struck out on 1,193 occasions (18th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,232 base hits.

The Dodgers hold a team WHIP of 1.222 and have a FIP of 4.30 as a squad so far this year. They come in at 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,133. The Los Angeles pitching staff have relinquished 625 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.19 (585 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,177 strikeouts vs 403 bases on balls). They have conceded 173 home runs and they concede 4.47 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball).

Los Angeles has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have tallied 41 saves. They rank 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 73.2%, and they have dispatched 482 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 137 times in high leverage situations and also on 118 occasions with runners on base. Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.3% of 180 inherited runners. With 137 save situations, the Dodgers have accumulated 80 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

Out of their 11,316 innings played, the Dodgers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (2nd in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have gotten 124 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 1,235 assists, 65 errors and have earned 3,772 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Lynn has allowed 25 base hits while tallying 19 punch outs in 23 frames. Lynn (0-1 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.94 ERA while giving up 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 13 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.690 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 1.27 and he has faced 110 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (+180)

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