San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+105) Houston (-125)

The Houston Astros (80-61) will take on the San Diego Padres (66-75) at Minute Maid Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has San Diego at +105 while Houston is opening at -125. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Seth Lugo and Cristian Javier.

San Diego is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 1,142 times, while drawing a walk on 565 occasions. They have accrued 610 RBI's in addition to 1,120 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .240. The Padres have tallied 235 doubles as a squad and have knocked 178 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 637 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .326. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.5 runs per outing, which is 17th in the league.

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The Padres hold a team ERA of 3.81 so far this year (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,246 hitters. Padres pitchers have given up 155 home runs in addition to 573 total runs (4th in the league). They have walked 483 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.20 as a team on the season. San Diego has conceded 1,119 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 529 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.58 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Padres pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 97 times as well as having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 72 holds for the year (17th in MLB). The Padres relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 54.5% and has entered the game in 128 save situations. They have recorded 30 saves so far this season and have blown 25 of 55 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 147 runners so far this season and 39.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have dispatched 441 relievers to the hill this year.

The San Diego Padres have 3,753 putouts this year, in addition to 1,245 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which ranks 8th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 117 double plays. The Padres have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 11,259 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 7th in the majors.

Lugo has thrown 616 innings and is sitting with 625 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.48 (238 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.170. He has allowed 557 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 164 walks. Lugo (38-30 career record) holds a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 2,547 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Houston Astros have accounted for an on-base percentage of .333 as well as a batting average of .260 so far this season. They have been rung up on 1,087 instances (28th in the league) and have accounted for 1,265 base hits. Houston has accumulated 196 long balls this year to go along with 706 RBIs. The Astros hold a team SLG% of .437 and they earn 5.17 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have recorded 241 doubles, while walking 481 times as well as scoring 729 runs.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.287 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.33 as a unit over the course of the season. They sit at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,158. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 607 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (549 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,265 strikeouts vs 462 walks). They have conceded 176 homers and they allow 4.34 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.4% of 136 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 84 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 131 save situations, the Astros have accrued 74 holds and also 17 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in baseball holding a save rate of 69.6%, and they have dispatched 445 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 56 save opportunities and they have come away with 39 saves.

Out of their 11,334 innings on the field, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (12th in pro baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 129 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in baseball). The Astros have racked up 1,188 assists, 71 errors and have earned a total of 3,778 putouts for the year.

In his career, Javier has surrendered 317 base hits while he has accumulated 505 punch outs in 441 frames. Javier (29-15 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.55 earned run average while allowing 6.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 174 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.112 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.90 and he has gone up against 1,808 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-125)

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