San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

The San Diego Padres (67-75) are hitting the road to Minute Maid Park on Sunday where they will take on the Houston Astros (80-62). The expected starting pitchers will be Rich Hill and J.P. France.

San Diego has a slugging rate of .410 and have struck out 1,151 times, while being walked on 569 occasions. They have 621 RBI's and 1,130 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is .240. The Padres have hit 237 doubles as a team and have smacked 180 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 648 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .326. As a team, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which is 17th in MLB.

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The Padres have a team earned run average of 3.79 on the campaign (3rd in baseball), and they have rung up 1,255 batters. Padres pitchers have surrendered 155 home runs in addition to 575 total runs (3rd in the league). They have walked 487 batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a squad for the year. San Diego has given up 1,125 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 531 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

The Padres bullpen have a save rate of 54.5% and has entered the game in 128 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 147 runners so far this season and 39.5% of those players ended up scoring. Padres bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have dispatched 443 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have a total of 72 holds over the course of the season (18th in baseball). They have earned 30 saves so far this year and have not converted 25 of their 55 save opportunities.

The Padres have transformed 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,340 innings, which has them sitting 7th in pro baseball. The San Diego Padres have 3,780 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,253 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 8th in baseball, and have earned 118 double plays.

Hill has taken the ball for 1,397 frames and has accounted for 1,414 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 4.02 (624 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.260. He has surrendered 1,224 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 537 free passes. Hill (89-73 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.09 while he has gone up against 5,905 hitters in the majors.

The Astros have a SLG% of .436 and they score 5.15 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have recorded 244 two-baggers, while getting a free base 485 times and putting up 731 runs. Houston has knocked in 196 home runs for the year to go along with 708 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,096 instances (28th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,271 hits. The Houston Astros are sitting with an on-base percentage of .332 and a team batting average of .260 so far this year.

The Houston pitching staff have given up 618 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.97 (560 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 178 HR's and they relinquish 4.39 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Astros have a WHIP of 1.289 and have a FIP of 4.34 as a team for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,274 strikeouts vs 466 free passes). They sit at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,168.

Houston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have recorded 39 saves. They are currently ranked 5th in baseball with a save rate of 69.6%, and they have dispatched 447 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 85 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 137 inherited base runners. With 131 save situations, the Astros have 74 holds and also 17 blown saves.

In 11,415 innings on the field, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (13th in MLB). The Houston Astros have gotten 129 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Astros have 1,194 assists, 71 errors and have accumulated 3,805 putouts this season.

In his pro baseball career, France has allowed 122 hits and he has 91 K's in 121 frames. France (10-5 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.72 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 50 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.314 and having a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.46 and he has gone up against 513 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego

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