San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/2/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 2, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (43-38) will compete against the San Diego Padres (37-44) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The pitchers taking the mound are Yu Darvish and Andrew Abbott.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.3 runs per outing, which has them at 20th in MLB. They have a total of 344 runs and hold an OBP of .322. The Padres have tallied 141 doubles as a team and have hit 95 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 327 runs batted in as well as 619 hits on the season, while their team batting average is .233. San Diego has a slugging rate of .396 and have struck out 698 times, while taking a walk on 336 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Padres pitchers have conceded 87 home runs and 325 total runs (6th in MLB). San Diego has surrendered 634 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 304 earned runs. The Padres have compiled a team ERA of 3.82 this season (8th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 689 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 254 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.13 as a team over the course of the season.

The Padres relievers have a save percentage of 58.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 81 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 93 base runners for the season and 36.6% of them ended up scoring. Padres relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 56 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 248 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have 47 holds on the campaign (8th in MLB). They have 20 saves so far this year and have not converted 14 of 34 save chances.

The Padres have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,453 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 5th in pro baseball. The San Diego Padres are sitting with 2,151 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 718 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which puts them in 2nd in MLB, and have a total of 65 double plays.

Darvish (100-81 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.48 and he has gone up against 6,435 hitters in the majors. He has given up 1,268 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 504 free passes. His ERA is 3.57 (622 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.130. Darvish has taken the mound for 1,568 innings and is sitting with 1,873 punch outs in his career.

The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .412 and they average 4.96 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have notched 145 two-baggers, while walking 293 times and notching 402 runs. Cincinnati has compiled 82 home runs this year as well as 387 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 726 occasions (10th in MLB) and have totaled 706 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .335 in addition to a batting average of .257 so far this year.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.465 with a FIP of 4.76 as a staff so far this year. They are currently ranked 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 746. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 418 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 5.01 (401 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (694 strikeouts vs 309 free passes). They have yielded 108 homers and they concede 5.22 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have recorded 29 saves. They are ranked 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 72.5%, and they have dispatched 293 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations and also on 109 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of 156 inherited runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Reds have amassed 45 holds in addition to 11 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 61 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 644 assists, 39 errors and have amassed 2,161 putouts this year. In their 6,483 innings on the diamond, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (28th in professional baseball).

Abbott (4-0 record in his career) is the owner of a 1.21 earned run average while giving up 4.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.50 and he has faced 115 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has conceded 4 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.944 and having a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Abbott has surrendered 16 base knocks while tallying 30 K's in 29 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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