San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (43-38) will compete against the San Diego Padres (37-44) on Saturday. The pitchers taking the mound will be Seth Lugo and Brandon Williamson.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 20th in MLB. They have a total of 344 runs while holding a team OBP of .322. The Padres have tallied 141 doubles as a team and have knocked 95 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 327 runs batted in in addition to 619 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is .233. San Diego is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 698 times, while being walked on 336 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Padres pitchers have allowed 87 home runs and also 325 runs (6th in baseball). San Diego has surrendered 634 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 304 earned runs. The Padres have compiled a team earned run average of 3.82 this season (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 689 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 254 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.13 as a squad over the course of the season.

Padres pitchers have entered the game with runners on 56 times and also have had 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 47 holds for the season (8th in baseball). The Padres bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 58.8% and has entered the game in 81 save situations. They have accumulated 20 saves for the season and have blown 14 of 34 save chances. The relievers have inherited 93 runners this season with 36.6% of them earned a run for their team. The Padres have sent 248 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The San Diego Padres have accumulated 2,151 putouts for the season, as well as 718 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which has them sitting 2nd in pro baseball, and have a total of 65 double plays. The Padres have transformed 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,453 innings on the field, which ranks them 5th in professional baseball.

Lugo (35-28 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.65 while he has gone up against 2,265 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 495 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 149 walks. His earned run average is 3.53 (214 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.179. Lugo has taken the hill for 546 frames and has accounted for 555 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Cincinnati has accounted for 82 HRs for the season to go along with 387 RBIs. They have recorded 145 two-baggers, while getting a free base 293 times and putting up 402 runs. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an OBP of .335 in addition to a team batting average of .257 so far this year. The Reds have a team SLG% of .412 and they earn 4.96 runs per outing (7th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 726 instances (10th in MLB) and are sitting with 706 base hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.465 and have a FIP of 4.76 as a staff on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (694 strikeouts against 309 walks). They rank 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 746. They have allowed 108 long balls and they give up 5.22 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 418 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 5.01 (401 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 87 save situations, the Reds have earned 45 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 40 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations and also on 109 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 156 inherited base runners. They sit at 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 72.5%, and they have dispatched 293 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 61 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 644 assists, 39 errors and have amassed 2,161 putouts on the season. Out of their 6,483 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (28th in pro baseball).

Williamson (1-1 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 5.82 ERA while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.71 and he has faced 171 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 25 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.474 and having a FIP of 5.9. During his pro baseball career, Williamson has conceded 40 hits while he has tallied 29 strikeouts in 38 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego

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