San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, June 30, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (43-38) will take on the San Diego Padres (37-43) on Friday. The expected starting pitchers are Michael Wacha and Graham Ashcraft.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are notching 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 20th in baseball. They are sitting with 340 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Padres have accounted for 140 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 93 balls out of the park. They have earned 323 runs batted in as well as 612 hits for the season, while their team batting average is .233. San Diego has a slugging rate of .396 and have struck out 692 times, while taking a walk on 331 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Padres pitchers have given up 87 home runs and 320 runs in total (5th in baseball). San Diego has surrendered 624 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 300 earned runs. The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.81 for the season (8th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 683 batters. They have walked 252 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.15 as a team for the year.

The Padres have sent 246 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 92 runners over the course of the season and 35.9% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 20 saves for the year and have blown 13 out of their 33 save opportunities. The Padres relievers have a save percentage of 60.6% and has come into the game in 80 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 47 holds on the season (7th in baseball). Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 55 times in addition to having 77 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have accounted for 2,127 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 708 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which puts them in 1st in baseball, and have 64 double plays. The Padres have transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,381 innings on the field, which has them sitting 5th in pro baseball.

Wacha has taken the hill for 1,234 innings and has totaled 1,090 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.97 (545 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.291. He has surrendered 1,200 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 393 walks. Wacha (81-52 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.06 and he has faced 5,214 batters during his time in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds have recorded a team on-base percentage of .335 in addition to a batting average of .257 so far this year. They have struck out on 726 occasions (7th in the league) and have a total of 706 hits. Cincinnati has accumulated 82 home runs on the campaign as well as 387 RBIs. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .412 and they are scoring 4.96 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have put up 145 doubles, while walking 293 times as well as earning 402 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.465 with a FIP of 4.76 as a team on the campaign. They are sitting at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 746. The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 418 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.01 (401 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (694 strikeouts vs 309 walks). They have surrendered 108 long balls and they relinquish 5.22 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB).

Sitting with 87 save situations, the Reds have 45 holds and also 11 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have tallied 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 118 times in high leverage situations and also on 109 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 156 inherited base runners. They are ranked 5th in baseball holding a save rate of 72.5%, and they have dispatched 293 relief pitchers onto the field this season.

In their 6,483 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (28th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 61 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (13th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 644 assists, 39 errors and have earned 2,161 putouts on the season.

So far in his career, Ashcraft has conceded 204 base hits and he has 123 punch outs in 174 frames. Ashcraft (8-12 career record) is the owner of a 5.79 earned run average while allowing 10.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 112 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.517 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.05 and he has gone up against 785 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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