San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-142) Chicago (+120)

Guaranteed Rate Field is where the Chicago White Sox (61-98) will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (79-80) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Padres at -142 while the White Sox are sitting at +120. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Michael Wacha and Mike Clevinger.

The Padres have accounted for 266 two-baggers as a team and have hit 205 baseballs out of the park. San Diego has a slugging % of .416 and have been rung up 1,282 times, while being walked on 637 occasions. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are recording 4.7 runs per contest, which has them at 14th in MLB. They have 708 RBI's as well as 1,291 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .244. They have accounted for 741 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .329.

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The Padres have an earned run average of 3.79 for the season (4th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,410 batters. Padres pitchers have conceded 171 home runs and 644 runs in total (4th in baseball). They have walked 548 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.15 as a unit on the season. San Diego has given up 1,249 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 595 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Padres relievers have earned a save percentage of 56.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. The relievers have inherited 172 runners so far this year and 39.5% of those players earned a run for their team. Padres bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 113 times in addition to having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 496 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have a total of 79 holds on the season (20th in the league). They have earned 35 saves for the season and have blown 27 out of their 62 save chances.

The Padres have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,708 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have 4,236 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,419 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 8th in baseball, and have a total of 128 double plays.

Wacha has taken the hill for 1,281 innings and has accumulated 1,138 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Wacha (87-54 career record) holds a FIP of 4.07 and he has gone up against 5,420 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.98 (567 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.296. He has conceded 1,248 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 412 walks.

The White Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .385 and they have an average of 4.01 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have put up 262 doubles, while taking a walk 368 times as well as scoring 637 runs. Chicago has accounted for 168 home runs on the year as well as 613 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,389 instances (13th in MLB) and have a total of 1,287 base hits. The Chicago White Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .292 in addition to a batting average of .239 on the season.

The Chicago pitching staff have yielded 830 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.91 (765 earned runs yielded). They have given up 214 homers and they relinquish 5.33 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.416 in addition to having a FIP of 4.74 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.20 (1,441 strikeouts vs 638 free passes). They sit at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,347.

Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.8% out of 223 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 181 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with base runners. With 129 save situations, the White Sox have 71 holds in addition to 29 blown saves. They rank 29th in MLB with a save rate of 49.1%, and they have sent 507 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Chicago has called on relievers to enter the game in 57 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves.

The Chicago White Sox have gotten 114 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in MLB). The White Sox have 1,215 assists, 94 errors and have amassed 4,208 putouts this season. Out of their 12,624 innings played, the White Sox have a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (23rd in the majors).

So far in his career, Clevinger has given up 652 base hits while tallying 802 strikeouts in 786 innings pitched. Clevinger (60-38 career record) is the owner of a 3.39 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 296 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and he has gone up against 3,226 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+120)

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