San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-265) Chicago (+215)

The San Diego Padres (80-80) are on their way to Guaranteed Rate Field on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Chicago White Sox (61-99). The line on this matchup has the Padres at -265 and the White Sox are coming in at +215. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Blake Snell and Jose Urena.

San Diego has a slugging percentage of .414 and have struck out 1,294 times, while drawing a walk on 643 occasions. They have compiled 711 RBI's and 1,297 hits this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .243. The Padres have earned 267 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 205 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 744 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .329. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.7 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Padres pitchers have conceded 173 home runs in addition to 646 total runs (2nd in the league). San Diego has conceded 1,257 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 597 earned runs. The Padres have an ERA of 3.78 over the course of the season (4th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,420 batters. They have walked 553 opposing players and their FIP is 4.16 as a squad on the season.

The Padres have sent 501 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 174 base runners this year with 39.1% of those players ended up scoring. They have 36 saves so far this year and have missed out on 27 out of their 63 chances to get a save. The Padres relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 147 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 83 holds for the year (16th in MLB). Padres relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 114 times as well as having 151 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have a total of 4,263 putouts this year, as well as 1,425 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which ranks 7th in the majors, and have a total of 129 double plays. The Padres have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,789 innings on the field, which has them sitting 6th in professional baseball.

Snell has pitched in 992 innings and has accounted for 1,223 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.20 (353 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.235. He has surrendered 775 base knocks (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 451 free passes. Snell (71-55 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.44 while he has faced 4,119 opposing hitters in the majors.

The White Sox have a team SLG% of .386 and they have an average of 3.99 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have recorded 264 two-baggers, while walking 373 times and scoring 639 runs. Chicago has knocked in 170 long balls so far this year to go along with 615 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,399 instances (13th in the league) and have 1,295 base knocks. The Chicago White Sox have a team OBP of .292 and a team batting average of .239 on the campaign.

The White Sox have a team WHIP of 1.415 in addition to having a FIP of 4.73 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (1,453 strikeouts vs 644 walks). They are currently ranked 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,353. They have allowed 214 home runs and they concede 5.31 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 833 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.90 (768 earned runs conceded).

Chicago relievers have an inherited score rate of 36.3% of 226 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 129 save situations, the White Sox have tallied 71 holds and also 29 blown saves. They are ranked 28th in the league with a save rate of 49.1%, and they have sent 512 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Chicago has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 57 save opportunities and they have come away with 28 saves.

In 12,705 innings on the diamond, the White Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (22nd in the majors). The Chicago White Sox have turned 114 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (26th in MLB). The White Sox have recorded 1,223 assists, 95 errors and have a tally of 4,235 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Urena has allowed 866 base knocks and he has 562 punch outs in 833 innings pitched. Urena (39-69 career record) holds a 4.92 ERA and has conceded 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 456 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.414 and a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.80 and he has gone up against 3,624 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (+215)

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