San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-150) Chicago (+130)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (13-9) will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (12-13) on Thursday. The odds on this game have San Diego at -150 and Chicago is priced at +130. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Seth Lugo and Hayden Wesneski.

The Padres have recorded 43 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 27 balls out of the stadium. San Diego has a slugging % of .371 and have been called out on strikes 224 times, while taking a walk on 95 occasions. As a squad, the San Diego Padres are scoring 3.7 runs per outing, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have tallied 88 RBI's in addition to 172 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .214. They have notched a total of 92 runs scored and hold an OBP of .301.

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The Padres have a team earned run average of 4.43 for the year (19th in MLB), and they have rung up 209 batters. Padres pitchers have conceded 26 home runs in addition to 111 runs in total (19th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 98 batters and their FIP is 4.43 as a unit for the year. San Diego has surrendered 208 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 109 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.13 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38.

Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 15 times in addition to having 30 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 20 holds on the year (6th in baseball). The Padres bullpen have compiled a save rate of 72.7% and stepped onto the hill in 31 save situations. They have recorded 8 saves on the campaign and have blown 3 out of their 11 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 31 runners this season with 41.9% of them crossed the plate. The Padres have sent 77 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Padres have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 1,995 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 15th in the majors. The San Diego Padres have 665 putouts for the season, in addition to 238 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .993 which has them ranked 1st in the majors, and have earned 23 double plays.

Lugo (34-25 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.60 and he has faced 2,142 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 462 base knocks (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 143 free passes. His earned run average is 3.44 (198 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.169. Lugo has pitched in 517 frames and has accounted for 531 K's during his pro baseball career.

Chicago has a total of 29 home runs so far this year to go along with 121 RBIs. They have recorded 36 two-baggers, while walking 81 times and scoring 127 runs. The Chicago Cubs have compiled an OBP of .351 and a batting average of .278 so far this year. The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .446 and they are scoring 5.77 runs per outing (3rd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 179 occasions (28th in baseball) and have 213 base hits.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.166 and have a FIP of 3.85 as a unit on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.80 (216 strikeouts against 76 free passes). They rank 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 154. They have allowed 22 dingers and they give up 3.74 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 82 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.51 (77 earned runs allowed).

Chicago relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.0% out of their 16 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 16 times in high leverage situations and on 10 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 18 save situations, the Cubs have compiled 13 holds and 3 blown saves. They rank 29th in MLB with a save rate of 40.0%, and they have sent 71 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves.

In 1,779 innings on the field, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (4th in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 14 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in the majors). The Cubs have recorded 191 assists, 11 errors and have amassed 593 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Wesneski has given up 46 hits while he has earned 45 punch outs in 50 innings. He has allowed 20 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.192 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.21 and he has gone up against 212 hitters in his MLB career. Wesneski (4-3 career mark) has a 3.58 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (+130) and under 8.5 runs

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