San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-135) Arizona (+115)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9) welcome the San Diego Padres (10-11) at Chase Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has San Diego at -135 while Arizona is opening at +115. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Merrill Kelly.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are recording 3.8 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 25th in baseball. They have a total of 80 runs and have an OBP of .307. The Padres have accrued 37 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 25 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 76 runs batted in and 151 hits so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .222. San Diego has a slugging % of .387 and have been called out on strikes 183 times, while drawing a walk on 78 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.20 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Padres pitchers have surrendered 21 home runs and 88 runs in total (18th in MLB). San Diego has surrendered 174 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 86 earned runs. The Padres have a team earned run average of 4.12 on the year (14th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 180 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 82 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.33 as a unit on the campaign.

The Padres have dispatched 63 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 23 runners for the season and 34.8% of those players ended up scoring. They have accumulated 6 saves so far this season and have blown 3 out of their 9 chances to get a save. The Padres relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has entered the game in 25 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 16 holds for the year (6th in MLB). Padres bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 12 times in addition to having 24 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have amassed 563 putouts this year, as well as 200 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding rate is at .992 which puts them in 2nd in pro baseball, and they have twisted 20 double plays. The Padres have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs in their 1,689 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in baseball.

Musgrove has taken the hill for 859 innings and has earned 852 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.79 (362 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.169. He has given up 786 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 218 free passes. Musgrove (50-54 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.79 while facing 3,576 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging percentage of .419 and they are earning 4.65 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have put up 46 doubles, while walking 37 times as well as recording 93 runs. Arizona has a total of 17 long balls this season to go along with 89 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 149 instances (25th in the league) and have a total of 176 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have an OBP of .304 and a batting average of .260 so far this season.

The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.402 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.37 as a unit so far this year. They come in at 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 157. The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 102 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.97 (96 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (161 strikeouts vs 87 walks). They have surrendered 30 home runs and they allow 5.28 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball).

Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 20.6% of 34 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 17 times in high leverage situations in addition to 20 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 7 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They sit at 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 66 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Arizona has had relievers step onto the hill in 8 save opportunities and they have tallied 6 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 16 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have recorded 194 assists, 7 errors and have a tally of 522 putouts this year. In their 1,566 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks hold a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (5th in pro baseball).

Kelly (37-37 career record) has a 3.91 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and he has faced 2,459 hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 258 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.230 and having a FIP of 4.1. During his MLB career, Kelly has allowed 555 base hits while tallying 512 punch outs in 594 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-135)

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