San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Friday, April 21, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-115) Arizona (-105)

Chase Field is where the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-8) will compete against the San Diego Padres (9-11) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Padres at -115 while the Diamondbacks are sitting at -105. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Seth Lugo and Zac Gallen.

San Diego is slugging .383 and have been rung up 174 times, while being walked on 74 occasions. They have recorded 69 RBI's and 144 hits this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .223. The Padres have hit 34 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 23 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 73 runs and have an OBP of .308. As a team, the San Diego Padres are putting up 3.7 runs per contest, which ranks them 25th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.12 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36. Padres pitchers have given up 21 home runs in addition to 83 runs in total (14th in baseball). San Diego has given up 162 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 81 earned runs. The Padres have a team ERA of 4.08 so far this year (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 172 batters. They have walked 81 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.44 as a unit on the campaign.

The Padres have dispatched 59 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 23 base runners for the season and 34.8% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 5 saves for the year and have blown 3 of 8 chances to get a save. The Padres bullpen have compiled a save rate of 62.5% and has entered the game in 22 save situations. The relievers have notched 14 holds this season (8th in baseball). Padres bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 12 times in addition to having 21 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have earned a total of 536 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 193 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .993 which has them sitting 2nd in MLB, and they have turned 20 double plays. The Padres have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,608 innings, which has them ranked 11th in the majors.

Lugo (34-24 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.62 while he has faced 2,117 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 456 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 142 walks. His ERA is 3.45 (196 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.169. Lugo has taken the hill for 511 innings and has accounted for 525 strikeouts in his MLB career.

Arizona has a total of 17 home runs on the season and 85 RBIs. They have 44 two-baggers, while getting a free base 36 times as well as scoring 88 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated an OBP of .304 in addition to a batting average of .259 on the campaign. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .421 and they tally 4.63 runs per contest (14th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 141 occasions (28th in MLB) and have totaled 165 base knocks.

The Arizona pitching staff have yielded 95 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.96 (91 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 28 homers and they concede 5.18 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.412 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.34 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (152 strikeouts vs 83 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 150.

Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 21.9% out of their 32 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 17 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 7 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They are currently ranked 7th in MLB with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 62 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Arizona has had relievers enter the contest in 8 save opportunities and they have converted 6 saves.

In 1,485 innings played, the Diamondbacks hold a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (5th in baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 16 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .991 (4th in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 184 assists, 6 errors and have earned 495 putouts on the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Gallen has allowed 364 base knocks while he has totaled 537 strikeouts in 481 innings pitched. Gallen (24-23 career mark) has a 3.10 ERA while surrendering 6.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 166 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.092 and having a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.31 and he has faced 1,957 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-115)

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