Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+180) San Diego (-210)

Petco Park is where the San Diego Padres (48-53) will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (44-56) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Pirates at +180 while the Padres are priced at -210. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Johan Oviedo and Seth Lugo.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are recording 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 24th in baseball. They have tallied 417 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .314. The Pirates have tallied 176 doubles as a squad and have hit 94 balls out of the park. They have tallied 397 RBI's in addition to 786 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average is sitting at .238. Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .386 and have struck out 873 times, while drawing a walk on 345 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.34 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38. Pirates pitchers have given up 111 home runs and 487 runs in total (22nd in the league). Pittsburgh has given up 855 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 443 earned runs. The Pirates are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.54 so far this year (22nd in MLB), and they have struck out 832 hitters. They have walked 355 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.40 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Pirates relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 67.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 81 save situations. The relievers have inherited 142 runners on the year and 34.5% of them crossed home plate. Pirates bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 94 times and also have had 91 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 314 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have notched 42 holds on the season (26th in MLB). They have accumulated 25 saves on the season and have blown 12 of 37 save opportunities.

The Pirates have turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,911 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have amassed 2,637 putouts this season, as well as 830 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which puts them in 26th in MLB, and they have twisted 79 double plays.

Oviedo has taken the ball for 254 innings and is sitting with 222 strikeouts so far in his career. Oviedo (7-22 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.55 while going up against 1,135 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.53 (128 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.400. He has given up 240 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 116 free passes.

San Diego has a total of 128 HRs on the year as well as 438 runs batted in. They have put up 178 two-baggers, while taking a walk 422 times and scoring 458 runs. The San Diego Padres have earned an OBP of .324 as well as a batting average of .235 on the campaign. The Padres hold a team SLG% of .408 and they earn 4.53 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have struck out on 849 occasions (18th in MLB) and have accounted for 788 hits.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.265 in addition to having a FIP of 4.26 as a squad for the year. They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 801. The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 410 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.81 (380 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (878 strikeouts vs 334 free passes). They have allowed 114 homers and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

With 103 save situations, the Padres have 57 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. San Diego has had relievers take the mound in 46 save chances and they have come away with 26 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 102 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.3% of 116 inherited runners. They rank 24th in MLB with a save rate of 56.5%, and they have dispatched 321 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

Out of their 8,076 innings on the diamond, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (6th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 88 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in the majors). The Padres have 914 assists, 40 errors and have 2,692 putouts so far this year.

In his career, Lugo has allowed 518 base hits while earning 579 punch outs in 569 frames. Lugo (36-28 career record) has a 3.51 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 222 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.78 and he has faced 2,361 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-210)

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