Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, July 24, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+205) San Diego (-250)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-55) are headed to Petco Park on Monday where they will meet the San Diego Padres (48-52). The line on this matchup has Pittsburgh at +205 while San Diego is coming in at -250. The over/under is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Quinn Priester and Yu Darvish.

Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .382 and have struck out 853 times, while taking a walk on 336 occasions. They have 385 runs batted in in addition to 763 base knocks this season, while their team batting average comes in at .236. The Pirates have compiled 171 doubles as a team and have hit 89 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 404 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .312. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are knocking in 4.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 26th in the league.

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The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 4.51 for the season (22nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 812 batters. Pirates pitchers have allowed 105 home runs and 476 total runs (21st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 350 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a squad on the campaign. Pittsburgh has surrendered 839 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 432 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 93 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 42 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). The Pirates relievers have a save percentage of 67.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 81 save situations. They have tallied 25 saves on the year and have blown 12 out of their 37 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 141 runners this season and 34.0% of them ended up scoring. The Pirates have dispatched 308 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Pirates have converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs out of 7,758 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 20th in MLB. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a total of 2,586 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 816 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .983 which has them ranked 26th in MLB, and have a total of 79 double plays.

Priester has taken the hill for 5 innings and has earned 2 punch outs in his career. Priester (0-1 mark in his career) has a FIP of 8.54 while he has gone up against 25 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 11.81 (7 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.688. He has allowed 7 base knocks (11.8 hits per nine innings) and has 2 free passes.

The San Diego Padres have earned a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .237 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 838 occasions (18th in the league) and have earned 778 base hits. San Diego has accounted for 126 home runs over the course of the season and 433 RBIs. The Padres have a team SLG% of .410 and they are scoring 4.58 runs per game (14th in the league). They have hit 174 doubles, while getting a free base 413 times as well as scoring 453 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (860 strikeouts against 327 free passes). They sit at 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 780. They have given up 108 dingers and they concede 4.08 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 399 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.77 (369 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 103 save situations, the Padres have earned 57 holds and 20 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 46 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 102 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.3% of 116 inherited base runners. They rank 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 56.5%, and they have dispatched 315 relievers to the hill so far this year.

In 7,923 innings on the diamond, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (6th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 86 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 897 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 2,641 putouts so far this year.

In his career, Darvish has allowed 1,284 base hits while tallying 1,893 punch outs in 1,585 innings pitched. Darvish (102-81 career record) holds a 3.55 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 626 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.133 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.70 and he has gone up against 6,509 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-250)

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