Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Pittsburgh Pirates (74-82) are hitting the road to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday where they will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (87-69). The expected starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Aaron Nola.

Pittsburgh owns a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 1,397 times, while being walked on 539 occasions. They have amassed 647 RBI's and 1,241 base knocks this season, while their batting average is at .239. The Pirates have accrued 275 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 157 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 672 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .315. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 21st in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39. Pirates pitchers have given up 173 long balls and 767 total runs (22nd in the league). Pittsburgh has surrendered 1,335 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 709 earned runs. The Pirates have compiled a team ERA of 4.64 over the course of the season (22nd in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,308 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 580 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.43 as a unit this year.

The Pirates relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 69.2% and stepped onto the hill in 152 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 base runners on the campaign and 33.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Pirates relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 152 times as well as having 161 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 505 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have earned 83 holds over the course of the season (14th in baseball). They have earned 45 saves on the campaign and have blown 20 out of their 65 save opportunities.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have amassed 4,130 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,344 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which ranks 20th in baseball, and have a total of 128 double plays. The Pirates have turned 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,390 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 18th in pro baseball.

Keller has taken the hill for 517 frames and has racked up 515 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.73 (272 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.457. He has surrendered 558 hits (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 196 walks. Keller (25-38 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.98 and he has gone up against 2,274 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an on-base percentage of .328 as well as a team batting average of .257 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,420 instances (9th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,372 base hits. Philadelphia has tallied 212 home runs for the year to go along with 744 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .440 and they tally 4.92 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have tallied 283 doubles, while walking 522 times and putting up 768 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 688 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.02 (620 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 178 home runs and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.245 in addition to having a FIP of 4.01 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (1,393 strikeouts vs 456 bases on balls). They come in at 9th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,274.

Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of their 178 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 172 times in high leverage situations and also on 126 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 152 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 83 holds and 25 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.8%, and they have dispatched 501 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Philadelphia has called on relievers to take the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have earned 44 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 112 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,338 assists, 88 errors and have amassed 4,168 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,504 innings on the diamond, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (14th in pro baseball).

In his career, Nola has conceded 1,230 hits while he has totaled 1,574 strikeouts in 1,415 innings. Nola (90-71 career record) has a 3.73 earned run average and has conceded 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 587 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.131 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.24 and he has faced 5,792 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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