Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (79-76) will try to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (73-81) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The pitchers expected to start will be Bailey Falter and Brandon Williamson.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 23rd in baseball. They have accumulated 657 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314. The Pirates have hit 269 doubles as a squad and have hit 155 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 632 RBI's as well as 1,218 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is at .238. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 1,379 times, while taking a walk on 530 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.27 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.39. Pirates pitchers have given up 168 home runs in addition to 751 runs in total (22nd in the league). Pittsburgh has allowed 1,313 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 693 earned runs. The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 4.59 for the season (22nd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,292 hitters. They have walked 570 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.40 as a unit for the season.

The Pirates have sent 498 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 225 base runners on the season and 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have 44 saves on the season and have blown 20 of their 64 save opportunities. The Pirates bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 68.8% and has come into the game in 151 save situations. The bullpen have earned 84 holds for the season (13th in MLB). Pirates bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 151 times in addition to having 159 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pirates have converted 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,237 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 4,079 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,322 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which puts them in 20th in pro baseball, and they have turned 125 double plays.

Falter (10-14 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.56 and he has gone up against 819 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 204 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 42 free passes. His earned run average is 4.45 (97 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.253. Falter has pitched in 196 frames and has racked up 167 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Cincinnati has compiled 179 home runs for the year and 691 runs batted in. They have hit 250 two-baggers, while getting a free base 531 times and putting up 725 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .325 and a team batting average of .246 this season. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .410 and they have an average of 4.68 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,433 occasions (5th in MLB) and have tallied 1,291 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 774 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.74 (727 earned runs conceded). They have given up 215 dingers and they surrender 5.05 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.408 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.80 as a squad this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,333 strikeouts against 586 walks). They rank 24th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,356.

With 168 save situations, the Reds have earned 87 holds and 25 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relievers enter the game in 76 save chances and they have converted 51 saves. Their relievers have come in 233 times in high leverage situations in addition to 211 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.9% of 305 inherited runners. They sit at 9th in the league with a save percentage of 67.1%, and they have dispatched 574 relievers to the mound so far this season.

In their 12,414 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (18th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 119 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (22nd in the majors). The Reds have 1,228 assists, 88 errors and have a total of 4,138 putouts so far this season.

In his MLB career, Williamson has surrendered 102 base hits while accumulating 93 strikeouts in 106 innings. He has conceded a total of 54 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 449 opposing batters in his MLB career. Williamson (4-5 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.56 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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