Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Pittsburgh Pirates (72-81) are en route to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Cincinnati Reds (79-75). The pitchers taking the mound will be Andre Jackson and Connor Phillips.

Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .391 and have been rung up 1,364 times, while taking a walk on 523 occasions. They have amassed 625 runs batted in and 1,209 hits so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .238. The Pirates have compiled 268 doubles as a team and have hit 151 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 650 runs scored and have an OBP of .313. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 23rd in baseball.

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The Pirates have a team earned run average of 4.58 this season (21st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,282 batters. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 167 long balls and 746 runs in total (21st in the league). They have walked 563 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.39 as a squad this year. Pittsburgh has given up 1,306 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and 688 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.28 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.38.

The Pirates relievers have earned a save percentage of 69.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 147 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 222 base runners this year with 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Pirates relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 149 times as well as having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 492 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have earned 82 holds so far this year (13th in the league). They have compiled 43 saves over the course of the season and have blown 19 out of their 62 save opportunities.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 4,052 putouts this season, in addition to 1,313 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball, and they have turned 123 double plays. The Pirates have converted 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,156 innings, which has them sitting at 19th in the majors.

Jackson has thrown 76 innings and has earned 68 strikeouts in his MLB career. Jackson (1-4 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.50 while facing 324 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.48 (38 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.271. He has allowed 68 base knocks (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 29 free passes.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an OBP of .324 as well as a team batting average of .247 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,423 occasions (5th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,284 hits. Cincinnati has hit 178 HRs this year to go along with 686 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .410 and they average 4.68 runs per game (12th in baseball). They have recorded 249 doubles, while getting a free base 524 times and scoring 720 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 767 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.73 (720 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 211 home runs and they surrender 5.04 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.406 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.77 as a staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (1,318 strikeouts vs 579 bases on balls). They come in at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,347.

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.3% out of their 300 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 231 times in high leverage situations and on 209 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 166 save situations, the Reds have 87 holds and 23 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in baseball with a save rate of 68.9%, and they have dispatched 568 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 74 save chances and they have tallied 51 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 118 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). The Reds have 1,224 assists, 87 errors and have accounted for 4,111 putouts this year. In their 12,333 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (18th in the majors).

Phillips (1-0 career mark) is the owner of a 5.74 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.43 and he has faced 69 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 10 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.8. In his pro baseball career, Phillips has surrendered 13 base hits while tallying 17 strikeouts in 15 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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