Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 3/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+110) Cincinnati (-130)
The Cincinnati Reds (62-100 last season) are welcoming the Pittsburgh Pirates (62-100 last year) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Pittsburgh at +110 and Cincinnati is priced at -130. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Mitch Keller and Hunter Greene.
The Pirates accounted for 221 doubles as a team and hit 158 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh had a slugging rate of .364 and struck out 1,497 times, while taking a walk on 476 occasions. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates recorded 3.7 runs per outing, which was 27th in MLB. They accrued 555 RBI's in addition to 1,186 hits in the prior season, and their team batting average sat at .222. They tallied 591 runs while holding a team OBP of .291.
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The Pirates had an earned run average of 4.66 over the course of last year (26th in MLB), and the staff struck out 1,250 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.13 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.42. Pirates pitchers conceded 164 long balls and 817 runs in total (28th in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 586 players from the other team and their FIP was 4.27 as a team during the previous year.
The Pirates relievers earned a save rate of 54.1% and stepped onto the mound in 135 save situations. The bullpen inherited 226 base runners in the previous season with 38.1% of them crossed home plate. Pirates bullpen pitchers entered the game with players on base 150 times in addition to having 157 outings in high leverage situations. The Pirates dispatched 504 relief pitchers to the hill last season. The bullpen accumulated 70 holds last year (23rd in MLB). They recorded 33 saves last season and did not convert 28 of 61 save opportunities.
The Pirates converted 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,789 innings on the diamond, ranking them 27th in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates notched a total of 4,263 putouts in the prior season, as well as 1,507 assists and 121 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .979 which had them sitting 30th in baseball, and had 152 double plays.
Keller (12-29 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.10 while he has gone up against 1,471 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 374 hits (10.2 hits per 9 innings) with 143 walks. His earned run average is 5.00 (183 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.570. Keller has thrown 329 frames and is sitting with 311 punch outs in his career.
The Reds held a slugging % of .372 and they were recording 4.00 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They hit 235 doubles, while walking 452 times as well as earning 648 runs. Cincinnati had 156 home runs for the prior year to go along with 618 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 1,430 occasions (8th in baseball) and recorded 1,264 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds had an on-base percentage of .304 and a team batting average of .235 for the previous season.
The Reds had a team WHIP of 1.390 in addition to having a FIP of 4.59 as a squad for the previous season. They were ranked 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,366. The Cincinnati pitching staff conceded 815 runs last season while having a team ERA of 4.86 (768 earned runs conceded). They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 (1,414 strikeouts against 612 walks). They surrendered 213 HR's and they allowed 5.15 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB).
Cincinnati relievers held an inherited score percentage of 34.6% out of their 257 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers came in 145 times in high leverage situations and on 167 occasions with base runners. Wrapping up the year with 114 save situations, the Reds had 60 holds and also 22 blown saves. They were sitting at 21st in MLB with a save rate of 58.5%, and they sent 574 bullpen pitchers onto the field last year. Cincinnati called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 53 save chances and they tallied 31 saves.
In their 12,810 innings on the field, the Reds earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds turned 115 double plays and had a fielding rate of .986 (13th in MLB). The Reds accrued 1,296 assists, 81 errors and earned 4,270 putouts over the course of last season.
In his MLB career, Greene has surrendered 104 base knocks and he has 164 punch outs in 125 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 62 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.210 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.42 and he has faced 531 hitters in his MLB career. Greene (5-13 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.44 ERA while allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+110)
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Additional Resources:
Cincinnati Reds - Twitter
Pittsburgh Pirates - Twitter