Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-105) Tampa Bay (-115)

Tropicana Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (57-30) will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (44-39) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at -105 while the Rays are priced at -115. The total is set at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Zach Eflin.

The Phillies have accrued 157 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 92 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .423 and have struck out 748 times, while drawing a walk on 258 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 14th in MLB. They have accumulated 361 runs batted in and 741 hits for the year, and their batting average is .260. They have accumulated 377 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.13 this season (15th in the league), and they have rung up 762 batters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 88 home runs and 371 runs (16th in MLB). They have walked 240 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.87 as a squad on the year. Philadelphia has given up 677 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 336 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies have dispatched 276 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have inherited 100 base runners so far this year with 38.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have 23 saves on the year and have blown 8 of their 31 chances to get a save. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 74.2% and has come into the game in 70 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 39 holds this year (22nd in MLB). Phillies pitchers have come into the game with players on base 65 times as well as having 84 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of 6,591 innings, which has them ranked 17th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 2,197 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 690 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 10th in the majors, and they have twisted 49 double plays.

Nola (85-67 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.36 and he has gone up against 5,449 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,145 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 355 free passes. His ERA is 3.68 (545 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.124. Nola has taken the hill for 1,334 frames and has totaled 1,482 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a team on-base percentage of .336 in addition to a team batting average of .264 on the season. They have struck out on 738 occasions (15th in baseball) and have totaled 773 base hits. Tampa Bay has 131 home runs for the year to go along with 466 RBIs. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .462 and they earn 5.61 runs per contest (3rd in baseball). They have put up 161 doubles, while taking a walk 284 times as well as putting up 488 runs.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.215 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (762 strikeouts vs 282 walks). They come in at 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 650. They have relinquished 90 homers and they relinquish 3.88 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 331 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.70 (315 earned runs relinquished).

With 87 save situations, the Rays have 45 holds and also 17 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have earned 25 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 69 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score rate of 23.4% out of their 111 inherited runners. They are ranked 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 283 relievers onto the diamond this year.

In 6,903 innings on the diamond, the Rays have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (3rd in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 73 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). The Rays have 793 assists, 35 errors and have accounted for 2,301 putouts this season.

During his career, Eflin has allowed 772 hits while earning 643 K's in 749 frames. Eflin (45-48 mark in his career) has a 4.35 earned run average and has conceded 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 362 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.67 and he has faced 3,161 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-115)

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