Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+105) St. Louis (-125)

The Philadelphia Phillies (79-67) are on their way to Busch Stadium on Saturday where they will play the St. Louis Cardinals (65-81). The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +105 while St. Louis is sitting at -125. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Ranger Suarez and Miles Mikolas.

The Phillies have accumulated 270 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 195 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .440 and have been called out on strikes 1,329 times, while drawing a walk on 487 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in the league. They have accumulated 692 runs batted in and 1,294 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .258. They have 714 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .329.

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The Phillies have an ERA of 4.04 for the season (14th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,308 hitters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 169 home runs and also 647 runs (16th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 423 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.02 as a squad so far this season. Philadelphia has given up 1,196 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and 583 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies have sent 467 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 169 base runners this season with 36.1% of those runners ended up scoring. They have compiled 39 saves over the course of the season and have blown 23 out of their 62 save chances. The Phillies relievers have earned a save rate of 62.9% and has come into the game in 132 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 70 holds on the campaign (22nd in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 118 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have turned 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,694 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 14th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,898 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,244 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in pro baseball, and they have twisted 106 double plays.

Suarez has pitched in 436 innings and has earned 394 punch outs so far in his career. Suarez (27-21 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.71 while he has faced 1,841 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.32 (161 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.303. He has allowed 416 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 153 free passes.

The Cardinals have a team SLG% of .425 and they average 4.56 runs per outing (16th in baseball). They have recorded 237 two-baggers, while taking a walk 504 times and scoring 666 runs. St. Louis is sitting with 200 home runs so far this year and 645 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,208 occasions (21st in baseball) and have accounted for 1,260 base hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have earned a team OBP of .327 in addition to a batting average of .253 on the season.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.453 with a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (1,103 strikeouts vs 480 walks). They rank 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,389. They have conceded 157 long balls and they yield 5.17 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 739 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.74 (678 earned runs surrendered).

With 142 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 82 holds and also 26 blown saves. St. Louis has had relievers take the mound in 58 save opportunities and they have earned 32 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 152 times in high leverage situations in addition to 157 occasions with runners on base. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of their 252 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB with a save rate of 55.2%, and they have dispatched 436 relievers onto the diamond this season.

Out of their 11,577 innings played, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (30th in MLB). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 134 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in the majors). The Cardinals have 1,436 assists, 58 errors and have 3,859 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Mikolas has allowed 885 hits while accumulating 652 strikeouts in 899 innings. Mikolas (52-51 career win-loss record) holds a 3.90 ERA while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 390 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.185 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.60 and he has gone up against 3,724 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+105)

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