Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, September 15, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-118) St. Louis (-102)

The Philadelphia Phillies (79-67) are en route to Busch Stadium on Friday where they will play the St. Louis Cardinals (65-81). The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at -118 while St. Louis is at -102. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Zach Thompson.

The Phillies have recorded 270 doubles as a team and have hit 195 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .440 and have struck out 1,329 times, while being walked on 487 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 9th in baseball. They have amassed 692 runs batted in in addition to 1,294 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is .258. They have accounted for 714 runs while having a team OBP of .329.

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The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.04 on the season (14th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,308 batters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 169 home runs and 647 total runs (16th in MLB). They have walked 423 batters and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a unit over the course of the season. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,196 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 583 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.09 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies have dispatched 467 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 169 runners on the campaign with 36.1% of those players ended up scoring. They have recorded 39 saves for the season and have not converted 23 of 62 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have a save rate of 62.9% and stepped onto the hill in 132 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 70 holds for the season (22nd in baseball). Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 118 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 3,898 putouts this season, in addition to 1,244 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which puts them in 23rd in the majors, and they have twisted 106 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,694 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball.

Nola (90-71 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.39 while he has gone up against 5,745 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 1,217 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 370 walks. His ERA is 3.74 (583 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.130. Nola has pitched in 1,404 frames and has accumulated 1,565 strikeouts in his career.

St. Louis has accounted for 200 home runs over the course of the season and 645 RBIs. They have put up 237 two-baggers, while walking 504 times and racking up 666 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have an on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .253 over the course of the season. The Cardinals hold a slugging percentage of .425 and they earn 4.56 runs per game (17th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,208 instances (19th in MLB) and have earned 1,260 base hits.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.453 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.39 as a staff for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (1,103 strikeouts vs 480 bases on balls). They are sitting at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,389. They have surrendered 157 homers and they surrender 5.17 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 739 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.74 (678 earned runs surrendered).

With 142 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 82 holds and also 26 blown saves. St. Louis has called on relievers to enter the contest in 58 save chances and they have earned 32 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 152 times in high leverage situations in addition to 157 occasions with runners on. St. Louis bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% out of 252 inherited runners. They rank 24th in baseball holding a save rate of 55.2%, and they have dispatched 436 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 134 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in professional baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 1,436 assists, 58 errors and are sitting with 3,859 putouts this year. In 11,577 innings played, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (30th in baseball).

During his career, Thompson has conceded 201 base hits while tallying 156 strikeouts in 196 innings. He has allowed 97 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.398 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.11 and he has gone up against 858 batters thus far in his career. Thompson (6-17 career mark) is the owner of a 4.44 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (-102)

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