Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/5/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+110) San Diego (-130)

Petco Park is where the San Diego Padres (65-73) will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (75-61) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at +110 while the Padres are coming in at -130. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Michael Lorenzen and Pedro Avila.

The Phillies have accounted for 254 doubles as a unit and have smacked 179 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia is slugging .439 and have been called out on strikes 1,225 times, while being walked on 438 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.9 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 9th in baseball. They have earned 642 runs batted in as well as 1,209 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is .259. They have earned a total of 664 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .328.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers have conceded 154 long balls and 593 total runs (13th in MLB). Philadelphia has given up 1,113 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 533 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.97 so far this season (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,219 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 389 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.97 as a unit so far this season.

The Phillies have sent 434 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 160 base runners for the year and 36.3% of them crossed home plate. They have compiled 37 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 21 of their 58 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 63.8% and has come into the game in 122 save situations. The bullpen have earned 64 holds over the course of the season (24th in baseball). Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 109 times and also have had 145 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 3,625 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,159 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which is 20th in pro baseball, and have 101 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of 10,875 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in pro baseball.

Lorenzen has pitched in 708 innings and has accounted for 594 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Lorenzen (39-37 career record) has a FIP of 4.27 and he has faced 2,999 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.03 (317 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.314. He has given up 652 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 279 free passes.

The Padres have a team slugging percentage of .411 and they are recording 4.50 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have put up 230 doubles, while getting a free base 550 times as well as earning 621 runs. San Diego has knocked in 176 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 595 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,121 occasions (21st in the league) and have 1,097 base hits. The San Diego Padres have compiled a team OBP of .326 in addition to a batting average of .240 this season.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (1,221 strikeouts against 465 free passes). They sit at 5th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,088. They have surrendered 150 HR's and they relinquish 4.11 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have given up 559 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.79 (515 earned runs conceded).

San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 55 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves. They rank 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have sent 431 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 128 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 40.6% out of their 143 inherited base runners. With 128 save situations, the Padres have 72 holds and 25 blown saves.

In their 11,016 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (6th in pro baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 113 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in professional baseball). The Padres have racked up 1,217 assists, 65 errors and have accumulated 3,672 putouts for the year.

In his career, Avila has allowed 40 hits while totaling 52 strikeouts in 43 frames. He has given up 13 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.351 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and he has gone up against 197 batters during his MLB career. Avila (0-3 career mark) holds a 2.68 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+110)

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