Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-190) Pittsburgh (+160)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (45-57) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (55-47) at PNC Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -190 while the Pirates are at +160. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Aaron Nola and Quinn Priester.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .415 and have struck out 930 times, while drawing a walk on 307 occasions. They have earned 440 RBI's as well as 897 base knocks this season, and their batting average sits at .256. The Phillies have hit 184 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 111 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 458 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .319. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 17th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.16 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers have conceded 112 home runs and 448 runs in total (13th in baseball). Philadelphia has yielded 829 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 406 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.04 on the season (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 923 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 292 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.93 as a team for the season.

The Phillies have sent 330 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 121 base runners for the season with 35.5% of them crossed home plate. They have tallied 29 saves for the year and have blown 11 of 40 chances to save the game. The Phillies relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 72.5% and has come into the game in 84 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 44 holds this year (25th in MLB). Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 82 times in addition to having 106 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have turned 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,148 innings, which has them sitting at 15th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 2,716 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 875 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which ranks 16th in the majors, and have 72 double plays.

Nola has thrown 1,361 frames and has accumulated 1,513 punch outs so far in his career. Nola (87-68 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.37 while facing 5,558 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.67 (555 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.119. He has conceded 1,168 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 356 free passes.

The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .385 and they score 4.13 runs per contest (25th in MLB). They have hit 177 doubles, while taking a walk 352 times and scoring 421 runs. Pittsburgh has hit 97 HRs for the year as well as 401 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 891 occasions (16th in MLB) and have recorded 794 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for a team OBP of .312 in addition to a batting average of .236 on the campaign.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.375 and have a FIP of 4.43 as a staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 870. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 494 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.52 (450 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (847 strikeouts vs 362 walks). They have given up 114 home runs and they give up 4.96 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

With 84 save situations, the Pirates have 44 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Pittsburgh has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 38 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 147 inherited runners. They are ranked 8th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.4%, and they have dispatched 320 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 81 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Pirates have racked up 844 assists, 60 errors and have a tally of 2,688 putouts so far this season. In 8,064 innings on the diamond, the Pirates hold a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (18th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Priester has conceded 11 base hits while he has totaled 6 K's in 10 innings. Priester (1-1 career win-loss record) holds a 9.28 earned run average and has surrendered 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 11 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.500 and being the owner of a FIP of 8.4. His K/BB ratio is 1.20 and he has gone up against 48 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+160) and under 8.5 runs

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