Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-118) New York (+100)

The New York Mets (72-86) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (89-70) at Citi Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -118 and New York is at +100. The total has been set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Cristopher Sanchez and Jose Quintana.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have a total of 780 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .327. The Phillies have hit 289 two-baggers as a team and have hit 217 balls out of the park. They have earned 755 runs batted in as well as 1,390 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .256. Philadelphia is slugging .439 and have struck out 1,452 times, while taking a walk on 532 occasions.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.01 for the season (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,428 hitters. Phillies pitchers have yielded 180 home runs and also 699 runs in total (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 463 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a team for the season. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,301 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 631 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.08 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 129 times as well as having 179 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 85 holds on the campaign (14th in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 63.4% and stepped onto the hill in 156 save situations. They have recorded 45 saves on the campaign and have blown 26 of their 71 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 180 runners this season and 34.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have dispatched 513 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Phillies have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,756 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 16th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have 4,252 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,365 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 18th in MLB, and have a total of 115 double plays.

Sanchez has thrown 151 frames and has tallied 143 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.17 (70 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.205. He has surrendered 142 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 40 walks. Sanchez (6-7 career record) holds a FIP of 4.15 while facing 629 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

New York has knocked in 210 home runs on the campaign and 678 runs batted in. They have notched 219 doubles, while taking a walk 518 times and putting up 701 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .239 for the season. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .408 and they score 4.41 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,305 occasions (22nd in the league) and have 1,259 base knocks.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.364 with a FIP of 4.48 as a staff so far this year. They sit at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,308. The New York pitching staff have conceded 715 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.29 (663 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,369 strikeouts against 588 bases on balls). They have yielded 187 long balls and they give up 4.63 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 52 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. They are ranked 13th in the league with a save percentage of 63.5%, and they have dispatched 519 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relievers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.0% out of 231 inherited base runners. Sitting with 138 save situations, the Mets have amassed 81 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 140 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). The Mets have racked up 1,371 assists, 87 errors and have notched a total of 4,170 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 12,510 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in MLB).

Quintana (92-93 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.73 earned run average and has conceded 8.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.01 and he has faced 7,518 batters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 745 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.278 and having a FIP of 3.6. In his MLB career, Quintana has surrendered 1,766 base knocks while he has totaled 1,587 punch outs in 1,795 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-118)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here