Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, May 31, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) New York (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies (25-28) are headed to Citi Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (27-27). The odds on this game have the Phillies at -130 and the Mets are coming in at +110. The total is 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Aaron Nola and Carlos Carrasco.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball. They have racked up 227 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .322. The Phillies have hit 103 doubles as a team and have knocked 55 balls out of the park. They have earned 218 RBI's in addition to 465 hits this year, while their team batting average comes in at .257. Philadelphia is slugging .417 and have been rung up 478 times, while being walked on 164 occasions.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.63 so far this year (23rd in MLB), and they have struck out 483 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 57 home runs in addition to 265 runs in total (24th in baseball). They have walked 166 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.01 as a unit on the campaign. Philadelphia has surrendered 453 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 238 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.34.

The Phillies bullpen have a save rate of 77.8% and has come into the game in 45 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 77 runners for the year and 39.0% of them crossed the plate. Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 46 times in addition to having 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 183 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 27 holds this year (19th in the league). They have accumulated 14 saves on the campaign and have blown 4 out of their 18 save chances.

The Phillies have converted 67.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,161 innings on the field, which has them ranked 26th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 1,387 putouts so far this season, in addition to 427 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them sitting 20th in MLB, and have earned 27 double plays.

Nola has taken the mound for 1,297 innings and is sitting with 1,440 strikeouts during his career. Nola (82-65 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.33 and he has faced 5,299 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.66 (527 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.125. He has allowed 1,118 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 341 walks.

The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .247 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 399 occasions (28th in the league) and have earned a total of 445 hits. New York has knocked in 62 home runs this year to go along with 234 runs batted in. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .401 and they average 4.50 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have recorded 74 doubles, while walking 190 times as well as putting up 243 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.370 with a FIP of 4.94 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (443 strikeouts vs 198 walks). They have a ranking of 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 442. They have given up 75 dingers and they surrender 4.93 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The New York pitching staff have allowed 256 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.78 (248 earned runs conceded).

With 57 save situations, the Mets have earned 37 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 20 save chances and they have earned 15 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 53 times in high leverage situations in addition to 44 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.7% out of their 66 inherited base runners. They are ranked 3rd in the league holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 169 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The New York Mets have turned 44 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in the majors). The Mets have racked up 465 assists, 18 errors and have a tally of 1,401 putouts for the season. In their 4,203 innings played, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (7th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Carrasco has given up 1,409 base hits while accumulating 1,522 punch outs in 1,473 innings pitched. Carrasco (105-87 career record) has earned a 3.92 earned run average and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 642 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.222 and having a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 3.88 and he has faced 6,110 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-130)

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