Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-105) New York (-115)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (27-27) will attempt to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (25-28) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -105 while New York is opening at -115. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Ranger Suarez and Kodai Senga.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .417 and have been called out on strikes 478 times, while drawing a walk on 164 occasions. They have recorded 218 runs batted in as well as 465 hits for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .257. The Phillies have tallied 103 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 55 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 227 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .322. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which ranks them 21st in baseball.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.63 over the course of the season (23rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 483 hitters. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 57 long balls and also 265 runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 166 opposing players and their FIP is 4.01 as a unit on the year. Philadelphia has given up 453 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and also 238 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 77.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 45 save situations. The relievers have inherited 77 runners for the season and 39.0% of them ended up scoring. Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 46 times and also have had 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 183 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have a total of 27 holds this year (19th in the league). They have recorded 14 saves for the year and have blown 4 of their 18 chances to save the game.

The Phillies have converted 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,161 innings on the field, which has them ranked 26th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have 1,387 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 427 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them ranked 20th in MLB, and have 27 double plays.

Suarez (25-16 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 1,435 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 322 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 118 free passes. His ERA is 3.34 (126 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.294. Suarez has pitched in 340 frames and has accounted for 303 K's in his pro baseball career.

New York has recorded 62 long balls for the year and 234 RBIs. They have recorded 74 two-baggers, while walking 190 times and notching 243 runs. The New York Mets have compiled a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .247 this year. The Mets hold a slugging % of .401 and they average 4.50 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have struck out on 399 occasions (28th in MLB) and have recorded 445 base knocks.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.370 in addition to having a FIP of 4.94 as a staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.50 (443 strikeouts against 198 walks). They rank 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 442. They have given up 75 dingers and they concede 4.93 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The New York pitching staff have given up 256 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.78 (248 earned runs relinquished).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 22.7% out of their 66 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 53 times in high leverage situations and on 44 occasions with base runners. With 57 save situations, the Mets have 37 holds and also 5 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 169 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 20 save chances and they have earned 15 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 44 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 465 assists, 18 errors and have amassed 1,401 putouts on the season. Out of their 4,203 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (7th in pro baseball).

Senga (4-3 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.94 earned run average while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.97 and he has gone up against 213 batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 21 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.521 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Senga has allowed 42 base hits while he has totaled 61 punch outs in 48 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-105)

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