Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, September 3, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Peacock

American Family Field is where the Milwaukee Brewers (74-59) will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (74-59) on Sunday. The pitchers taking the mound are Ranger Suarez and Wade Miley.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .439 and have struck out 1,193 times, while taking a walk on 428 occasions. They have accumulated 628 RBI's and 1,191 hits for the season, while their team batting average is at .261. The Phillies have compiled 251 doubles as a unit and have hit 172 balls out of the park. They have tallied 650 runs and have an on-base percentage of .329. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in MLB.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.95 on the season (10th in the league), and they have rung up 1,182 batters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 150 long balls and also 577 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 379 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.99 as a team for the season. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,087 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 520 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.12 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies have dispatched 423 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 156 runners for the year and 34.6% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 36 saves over the course of the season and have blown 20 of 56 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have earned a save percentage of 64.3% and has come into the game in 117 save situations. The relievers have notched 61 holds this year (24th in the league). Phillies pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 107 times in addition to having 140 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,488 innings on the field, which has them sitting 12th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,496 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,125 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 15th in baseball, and have 97 double plays.

Suarez (27-21 career record) holds a FIP of 3.70 and he has faced 1,798 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 409 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 148 free passes. His ERA is 3.29 (156 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.306. Suarez has pitched in 426 frames and has accumulated 379 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

Milwaukee has tallied 138 home runs on the campaign as well as 558 RBIs. They have notched 195 doubles, while taking a walk 476 times and notching 582 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled a team OBP of .315 in addition to a batting average of .235 over the course of the season. The Brewers hold a team SLG% of .379 and they are recording 4.38 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,160 occasions (15th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,038 base knocks.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 561 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.94 (517 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 168 homers and they allow 4.28 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.213 with a FIP of 4.33 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (1,159 strikeouts vs 405 free passes). They come in at 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,026.

Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 59 save opportunities and they have walked away with 40 saves. They are ranked 9th in baseball holding a save percentage of 67.8%, and they have dispatched 421 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 144 times in high leverage situations and on 99 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 137 inherited runners. With 141 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 81 holds and 19 blown saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 97 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (13th in professional baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,124 assists, 66 errors and have a total of 3,494 putouts during this campaign. In 10,482 innings played, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (1st in baseball).

In his MLB career, Miley has allowed 1,743 hits while accumulating 1,340 K's in 1,711 innings pitched. He has conceded 775 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.363 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.27 and he has gone up against 7,324 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Miley (106-97 career win-loss mark) has a 4.07 earned run average while allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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