Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, September 1, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) Milwaukee (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies (74-59) are traveling to American Family Field on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (74-59). The line on this contest has the Phillies at -130 and the Brewers are at +110. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Freddy Peralta.

The Phillies have tallied 251 doubles as a team and have hit 172 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .439 and have been rung up 1,193 times, while being walked on 428 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.9 runs/g, which has them at 9th in the league. They have 628 RBI's as well as 1,191 hits so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .261. They have a total of 650 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329.

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The Phillies have an ERA of 3.95 for the year (10th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,182 batters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 150 home runs and 577 total runs (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 379 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a team for the year. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,087 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 520 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.12 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies have dispatched 423 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 156 base runners this year and 34.6% of those runners ended up scoring. They have earned 36 saves for the year and have blown 20 of their 56 chances to get a save. The Phillies relievers have compiled a save rate of 64.3% and stepped onto the hill in 117 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 61 holds for the year (24th in baseball). Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 107 times and also have had 140 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,496 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,125 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which is 15th in pro baseball, and have a total of 97 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,488 innings, which has them sitting 12th in MLB.

Wheeler (84-63 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.33 and he has faced 5,575 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 1,201 base hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 396 free passes. His ERA is 3.44 (514 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.188. Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,344 innings and has 1,364 punch outs during his career.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .379 and they are recording 4.38 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have hit 195 two-baggers, while taking a walk 476 times and scoring 582 runs. Milwaukee has accumulated 138 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 558 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,160 occasions (15th in MLB) and have recorded 1,038 base knocks. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with a team OBP of .315 and a batting average of .235 on the season.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 561 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.94 (517 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 168 long balls and they concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.213 in addition to having a FIP of 4.33 as a staff for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (1,159 strikeouts against 405 walks). They rank 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,026.

Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 59 save chances and they have tallied 40 saves. They rank 9th in the league with a save rate of 67.8%, and they have sent 421 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 144 times in high leverage situations in addition to 99 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 137 inherited runners. With 141 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 81 holds and 19 blown saves.

Out of their 10,482 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (1st in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 97 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Brewers have racked up 1,124 assists, 66 errors and have notched a total of 3,494 putouts so far this year.

Peralta (41-25 mark in his career) has a 3.85 ERA while allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and he has faced 2,303 opposing hitters in his career. He has allowed 237 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.139 and having a FIP of 3.5. In his pro baseball career, Peralta has surrendered 406 hits while earning 716 strikeouts in 554 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-130)

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