Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, August 3, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) Miami (+110)

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (57-51) will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (58-49) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at -130 and the Marlins are sitting at +110. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Michael Lorenzen and Johnny Cueto.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which has them at 17th in baseball. They have earned 477 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .321. The Phillies have recorded 194 two-baggers as a team and have hit 114 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 459 RBI's as well as 932 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is at .254. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .412 and have struck out 984 times, while being walked on 340 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers have yielded 116 long balls in addition to 465 total runs (14th in the league). Philadelphia has conceded 872 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 419 earned runs. The Phillies have an ERA of 3.97 for the year (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 962 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 307 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.92 as a unit for the season.

The Phillies relievers have a save rate of 71.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 94 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 129 base runners on the season and 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Phillies pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 90 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 348 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 49 holds this year (22nd in MLB). They have tallied 32 saves this year and have not converted 13 of 45 chances to save the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 2,848 putouts thus far, as well as 917 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them sitting 16th in baseball, and they have turned 79 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,544 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 15th in MLB.

Lorenzen (36-36 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.22 while he has gone up against 2,866 batters in the majors. He has given up 622 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 268 free passes. His ERA is 4.02 (302 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.315. Lorenzen has pitched in 676 innings and has racked up 574 strikeouts in his career.

The Miami Marlins have recorded an OBP of .321 as well as a batting average of .265 on the year. They have struck out on 858 instances (25th in MLB) and have recorded 972 hits. Miami is sitting with 96 home runs this year as well as 418 RBIs. The Marlins have a team slugging % of .399 and they tally 4.06 runs per game (27th in baseball). They have put up 172 two-baggers, while walking 285 times as well as racking up 439 runs.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.268 with a FIP of 3.92 as a team this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (1,012 strikeouts against 330 walks). They are currently ranked 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 885. They have allowed 117 long balls and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 464 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.10 (436 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 121 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 69 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 51 save chances and they have recorded 29 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 143 times in high leverage situations in addition to 108 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% of 156 inherited base runners. They are ranked 24th in the league holding a save rate of 56.9%, and they have sent 366 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 100 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (25th in MLB). The Marlins have 960 assists, 64 errors and have 2,875 putouts so far this season. In their 8,625 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in pro baseball).

Cueto (143-109 career mark) has a 3.46 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.93 and he has faced 9,167 batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up 848 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.205 and having a FIP of 3.9. So far in his career, Cueto has conceded 2,039 hits while accumulating 1,826 strikeouts in 2,208 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-130)

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