Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 7, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) Miami (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-39) are hitting the road to loanDepot park on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (51-37). The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at -130 and the Marlins are priced at +110. The total comes in at 7. The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Sandy Alcantara.

The Phillies have accrued 163 doubles as a team and have hit 94 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .424 and have struck out 769 times, while drawing a walk on 261 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 14th in the league. They have amassed 372 runs batted in as well as 764 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .261. They have earned 388 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .324.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.20 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have yielded 90 long balls in addition to 376 total runs (12th in the league). Philadelphia has surrendered 690 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 341 earned runs. The Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.09 over the course of the season (13th in baseball), and they have struck out 787 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 246 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a team on the campaign.

The Phillies have dispatched 280 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 100 runners on the campaign with 38.0% of them ended up scoring. They have compiled 24 saves this year and have blown 8 of their 32 save opportunities. The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 75.0% and has come into the game in 72 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 40 holds for the year (22nd in the league). Phillies pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 65 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 2,251 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 707 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which ranks 8th in baseball, and have a total of 52 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 68.9% of balls in play into outs in their 6,753 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 17th in MLB.

Wheeler has pitched in 1,285 frames and has 1,301 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.47 (495 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.202. He has given up 1,156 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 388 walks. Wheeler (81-61 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.33 and he has gone up against 5,345 hitters in the majors.

Miami has recorded 82 home runs on the year as well as 351 runs batted in. They have recorded 140 two-baggers, while walking 247 times and notching 371 runs. The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .324 and a batting average of .264 so far this season. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .401 and they score 4.22 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 709 occasions (21st in the league) and have earned a total of 787 hits.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 3.90 as a pitching staff on the season. They are currently ranked 17th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 722. The Miami pitching staff have given up 378 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.11 (357 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (830 strikeouts vs 271 bases on balls). They have allowed 94 long balls and they yield 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 41 save opportunities and they have earned 27 saves. They rank 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.9%, and they have dispatched 304 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 116 times in high leverage situations in addition to 90 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of 131 inherited runners. Sitting with 101 save situations, the Marlins have 60 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 77 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 779 assists, 49 errors and have 2,348 putouts this season. Out of their 7,044 innings on the diamond, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (21st in baseball).

So far in his career, Alcantara has surrendered 695 hits and he has 727 strikeouts in 823 frames. He has allowed 306 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.157 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and he has faced 3,369 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Alcantara (37-50 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.34 earned run average and has surrendered 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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