Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+125) Houston (-145)

The Philadelphia Phillies (14-13) are on their way to Minute Maid Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Houston Astros (14-12). The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +125 and Houston is coming in at -145. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Bailey Falter and Jose Urquidy.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .440 and have been called out on strikes 246 times, while drawing a walk on 70 occasions. They have 113 runs batted in in addition to 256 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is .274. The Phillies have compiled 54 doubles as a squad and have hit 29 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 117 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 19th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 26 home runs and 125 runs in total (22nd in MLB). Philadelphia has allowed 212 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 117 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.46 for the season (20th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 246 hitters. They have walked 93 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a team this season.

The Phillies have sent 92 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 35 base runners on the year with 57.1% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 8 saves for the season and have blown 2 of their 10 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 80.0% and has entered the game in 26 save situations. The relievers have a total of 16 holds on the season (13th in MLB). Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 20 times and also have had 24 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have transformed 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,124 innings, ranking them 17th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 708 putouts so far this season, as well as 218 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which ranks 10th in pro baseball, and have a total of 14 double plays.

Falter has thrown 145 innings and has 127 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.39 (71 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.195. He has given up 147 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 27 free passes. Falter (8-9 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.47 and he has faced 600 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Houston Astros hold a team on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .246 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 214 instances (21st in the league) and have earned 218 base hits. Houston has hit 25 long balls this season as well as 119 RBIs. The Astros have a team slugging % of .378 and they average 4.73 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have recorded 40 doubles, while taking a walk 88 times and racking up 123 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 97 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.16 (82 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 24 HR's and they relinquish 3.74 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Astros have a WHIP of 1.188 and have a FIP of 3.63 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.70 (251 strikeouts vs 73 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 10th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 204.

Sitting with 15 save situations, the Astros have recorded 5 holds and 3 blown saves. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 9 save chances and they have tallied 6 saves. Their relievers have come in 21 times in high leverage situations and also on 12 occasions with runners on base. Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% of 22 inherited base runners. They rank 11th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 80 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Houston Astros have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (5th in pro baseball). The Astros have racked up 231 assists, 9 errors and have notched a total of 701 putouts for the season. In 2,103 innings on the diamond, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (15th in baseball).

Urquidy (25-15 career record) has a 3.85 earned run average while surrendering 8.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.72 and he has gone up against 1,489 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 156 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.131 and having a FIP of 4.4. During his pro baseball career, Urquidy has allowed 331 hits and he has 301 punch outs in 364 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+125)

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