Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+160) Houston (-190)

Minute Maid Park is the site where the Houston Astros (14-11) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (12-13) on Friday. The line on this contest has Philadelphia at +160 while Houston is coming in at -190. The over/under has been set at 7. The starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Framber Valdez.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .450 and have been called out on strikes 232 times, while drawing a walk on 69 occasions. They have tallied 109 runs batted in and 244 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average is .279. The Phillies have accounted for 51 doubles as a unit and have hit 28 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 113 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .336. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 16th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 25 home runs and 124 runs in total (24th in baseball). Philadelphia has relinquished 205 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 116 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.79 on the year (24th in the league), and they have rung up 229 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 91 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a team on the year.

The Phillies bullpen have earned a save rate of 75.0% and has entered the game in 21 save situations. The relievers have inherited 34 base runners over the course of the season and 58.8% of those players crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 19 times in addition to having 20 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 87 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have earned 13 holds this season (14th in baseball). They have earned 6 saves for the season and have blown 2 of their 8 save opportunities.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 654 putouts thus far, in addition to 203 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 12th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 12 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,962 innings on the field, ranking them 21st in professional baseball.

Nola has thrown 1,256 frames and has racked up 1,402 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.65 (509 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.130. He has surrendered 1,085 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 335 walks. Nola (79-64 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.30 while going up against 5,140 batters in the major leagues.

Houston has accounted for 24 long balls for the year and 118 RBIs. They have put up 40 two-baggers, while taking a walk 88 times and scoring 122 runs. The Houston Astros hold an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .251 so far this season. The Astros have a team slugging % of .384 and they average 4.88 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have struck out on 206 occasions (20th in the league) and have accounted for 215 hits.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.200 and have a FIP of 3.63 as a squad on the campaign. They are sitting at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 196. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 94 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.17 (79 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.80 (244 strikeouts vs 73 free passes). They have surrendered 23 homers and they concede 3.77 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

Houston has called on relievers to enter the game in 9 save opportunities and they have tallied 6 saves. They rank 12th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 78 relievers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations in addition to 12 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of their 22 inherited base runners. With 15 save situations, the Astros have earned 5 holds in addition to 3 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 16 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .991 (3rd in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 218 assists, 8 errors and have earned a total of 674 putouts over the course of the season. In their 2,022 innings on the field, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (15th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Valdez has given up 464 base knocks while he has accumulated 531 strikeouts in 546 innings pitched. He has allowed 201 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.45 and he has faced 2,301 opposing batters so far in his career. Valdez (43-25 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.31 ERA while conceding 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+160)

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