Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-225) Cincinnati (+190)

The Cincinnati Reds (5-8) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (5-9) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -225 while Cincinnati is opening at +190. The over/under is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Aaron Nola and Luis Cessa.

The Phillies have hit 34 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 13 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .457 and have struck out 138 times, while drawing a walk on 36 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.4 runs per outing, which has them at 22nd in baseball. They have accrued 59 RBI's in addition to 140 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .285. They have accumulated 61 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .335.

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The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 5.13 this year (24th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 120 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 15 long balls and 75 total runs (24th in MLB). They have walked 60 opposing players and their FIP is 4.59 as a squad for the season. Philadelphia has conceded 124 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and also 69 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.00 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.52.

The Phillies have dispatched 52 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 27 base runners this year with 59.3% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 1 save for the year and have blown 2 of 3 chances to get a save. The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 33.3% and has come into the game in 8 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 5 holds this season (21st in baseball). Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 15 times in addition to having 9 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 363 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 121 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .990 which is 9th in the majors, and have a total of 8 double plays. The Phillies have turned 67.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,089 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 25th in the majors.

Nola has thrown 1,243 innings and has earned 1,395 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.65 (504 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.130. He has allowed 1,076 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 329 free passes. Nola (78-64 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.28 while he has gone up against 5,089 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .385 and they earn 4.46 runs per game (17th in the league). They have hit 19 doubles, while taking a walk 49 times as well as racking up 58 runs. Cincinnati has tallied 12 long balls on the campaign as well as 56 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 119 occasions (17th in baseball) and have accounted for 104 hits. The Cincinnati Reds hold a team on-base percentage of .327 in addition to a batting average of .242 on the season.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 65 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.93 (62 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 12 home runs and they allow 5.17 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.530 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 10.30 (130 strikeouts vs 51 free passes). They come in at 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 122.

Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 8 save opportunities and they have come away with 4 saves. They are ranked 22nd in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 47 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 22 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 38.9% out of 36 inherited base runners. Sitting with 17 save situations, the Reds have earned 8 holds and also 4 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 8 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Reds have 100 assists, 6 errors and have notched a total of 340 putouts for the season. In their 1,020 innings on the diamond, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 63.5% (30th in MLB).

Cessa (16-19 career record) has a 4.19 earned run average while conceding 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.41 and he has faced 1,716 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 190 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.279 and having a FIP of 4.7. So far in his MLB career, Cessa has given up 388 base hits while tallying 323 K's in 408 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-225)

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