Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-145) Cincinnati (+125)

Great American Ball Park is the site where the Cincinnati Reds (5-7) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (4-9) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at -145 and the Reds are at +125. The total comes in at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Matt Strahm and Graham Ashcraft.

The Phillies have tallied 30 doubles as a unit and have hit 12 balls out of the park. Philadelphia is slugging .447 and have been rung up 132 times, while drawing a walk on 32 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in baseball. They have 51 RBI's in addition to 127 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is at .280. They are sitting with 53 runs while holding a team OBP of .329.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.00 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.55. Phillies pitchers have allowed 15 long balls and 72 runs (24th in MLB). Philadelphia has given up 118 base hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and 67 earned runs. The Phillies have a team earned run average of 5.38 over the course of the season (25th in the league), and the staff has struck out 112 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 56 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.74 as a squad on the campaign.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 15 times as well as having 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 4 holds so far this season (22nd in the league). The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 33.3% and has come into the game in 7 save situations. They have earned 1 save so far this season and have blown 2 of 3 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 27 runners on the season with 59.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have sent 49 relievers to the mound this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 336 putouts this season, as well as 114 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball, and they have turned 8 double plays. The Phillies have converted 66.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,008 innings, which has them sitting at 26th in the majors.

Strahm has thrown 314 innings and has totaled 335 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 3.69 (129 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.192. He has given up 275 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 100 walks. Strahm (18-28 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.97 while going up against 1,323 batters in the major leagues.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .399 and they average 4.58 runs per game (16th in the league). They have put up 18 doubles, while walking 45 times as well as scoring 55 runs. Cincinnati has compiled 12 HRs on the season as well as 53 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 111 occasions (17th in baseball) and have recorded 98 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .333 and a team batting average of .247 on the campaign.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 57 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.67 (54 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 11 dingers and they allow 4.93 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.499 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.80 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 10.70 (124 strikeouts against 47 free passes). They rank 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 109.

With 17 save situations, the Reds have accrued 8 holds and also 4 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 8 save chances and they have earned 4 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 20 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.4% out of their 33 inherited base runners. They are ranked 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 44 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 8 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (18th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 92 assists, 6 errors and have accumulated 313 putouts on the season. In their 939 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 63.6% (30th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Ashcraft has allowed 129 base knocks while he has earned 84 strikeouts in 118 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 60 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.381 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 515 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Ashcraft (6-6 mark in his career) has earned a 4.58 ERA while giving up 9.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+125)

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