Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 6/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

The Philadelphia Phillies (40-37) are on their way to Wrigley Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Chicago Cubs (37-39). The expected starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Drew Smyly.

The Phillies have accounted for 140 doubles as a team and have hit 80 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .414 and have struck out 705 times, while drawing a walk on 242 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 17th in MLB. They have 321 RBI's as well as 678 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is .257. They have 337 runs scored and have an OBP of .323.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. Phillies pitchers have allowed 82 home runs and 353 total runs (16th in the league). Philadelphia has conceded 626 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 319 earned runs. The Phillies have an ERA of 4.23 over the course of the season (16th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 707 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 231 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.90 as a team on the season.

The Phillies have sent 260 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 96 base runners this year and 38.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 22 saves so far this season and have not converted 8 of their 30 save opportunities. The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save rate of 73.3% and stepped onto the hill in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 37 holds over the course of the season (24th in MLB). Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 63 times as well as having 81 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 2,035 putouts for the season, as well as 631 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 8th in baseball, and they have turned 42 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,105 innings, which has them sitting at 16th in the majors.

Nola (84-67 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.34 while he has gone up against 5,425 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 1,138 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 352 walks. His ERA is 3.66 (541 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.121. Nola has thrown 1,329 frames and has earned 1,478 strikeouts during his career.

Chicago has accumulated 85 long balls for the season as well as 341 runs batted in. They have put up 114 two-baggers, while taking a walk 286 times and racking up 352 runs. The Chicago Cubs have recorded an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a batting average of .248 on the season. The Cubs have a team SLG% of .402 and they score 4.63 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have struck out on 696 occasions (10th in the league) and have earned a total of 635 hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 320 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.91 (291 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 72 dingers and they allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.263 with a FIP of 4.01 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (620 strikeouts vs 240 bases on balls). They rank 5th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 605.

Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.3% out of their 99 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 55 times in high leverage situations and also on 59 occasions with runners on base. With 52 save situations, the Cubs have recorded 35 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They rank 17th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 236 relievers to the mound this year. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 16 save chances and they have recorded 10 saves.

Out of their 6,021 innings on the diamond, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (9th in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 69 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Cubs have accrued 681 assists, 39 errors and have accumulated 2,007 putouts for the year.

During his career, Smyly has conceded 978 base hits while earning 991 K's in 1,026 frames. He has allowed 461 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.12 and he has faced 4,314 batters during his MLB career. Smyly (60-51 career mark) has a 4.04 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago

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