Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+200) Atlanta (-240)

The Atlanta Braves (96-54) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (82-68) at Truist Park on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at +200 and Atlanta is opening at -240. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Aaron Nola and Bryce Elder.

Philadelphia is slugging .441 and have been called out on strikes 1,361 times, while being walked on 501 occasions. They have compiled 713 RBI's and 1,330 hits for the year, and their team batting average is at .258. The Phillies have accumulated 276 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 203 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 737 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .329. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.9 runs per contest, which is 8th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.03 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 172 long balls and also 659 runs in total (12th in baseball). Philadelphia has given up 1,224 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 594 earned runs. The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.01 for the season (10th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,335 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 441 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.03 as a team so far this season.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 120 times and also have had 159 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 74 holds for the season (20th in the league). The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 63.5% and has come into the game in 137 save situations. They have accumulated 40 saves so far this year and have blown 23 of 63 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 173 base runners for the year with 35.3% of those runners crossed the plate. The Phillies have sent 480 relievers to the hill this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 4,003 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,280 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in the majors, and they have turned 107 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,009 innings, which ranks them 13th in pro baseball.

Nola (90-71 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.39 while he has gone up against 5,768 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,224 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 371 free passes. His ERA is 3.74 (585 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.132. Nola has pitched in 1,409 innings and has racked up 1,566 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Atlanta Braves have compiled an on-base percentage of .342 as well as a batting average of .274 for the season. They have been rung up on 1,186 occasions (26th in the league) and have totaled 1,415 base knocks. Atlanta has 289 home runs on the campaign as well as 838 RBIs. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .500 and they score 5.77 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have 264 doubles, while walking 496 times and scoring 866 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.293 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.60 (1,422 strikeouts against 491 walks). They are sitting at 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,230. They have conceded 174 homers and they allow 4.42 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 653 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.08 (603 earned runs yielded).

Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 71 save chances and they have come away with 48 saves. They sit at 9th in the league with a save rate of 67.6%, and they have sent 490 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 158 times in high leverage situations and also on 120 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.3% out of 178 inherited base runners. Sitting with 166 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 94 holds and also 23 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 127 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (16th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 1,218 assists, 78 errors and have accounted for 3,993 putouts this season. In their 11,979 innings on the field, the Braves are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (23rd in baseball).

Elder (14-8 career record) has a 3.42 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.25 and he has gone up against 919 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 84 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.224 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. During his pro baseball career, Elder has given up 194 base hits while tallying 173 strikeouts in 221 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+200)

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